Wednesday 6 March 2024

VELLNER @ 33/1

 Kempton 4.24 VELLNER ... E/W @ 33/1

MAYSONG looks a worthy favourite after his run off 3lb higher behind Borgi on penultimate outing. But the price looks skinny with his only win here over 7fl 5 years ago from 27 A/W runs 😶

VELLNER however looks worthy of a E/W punt as he was rated 92 in Ireland after winning the Curragh maiden, and was competing against rivals rated in the high 80's mid 90's thereafter in better races than this.

Been running over between 10 to 12 furlongs and dropped a massive 20lb since last spring/summer

His 11th placed effort here in November gone was a 0-95 Class 3, he was off 13lb higher than today. He made decent Inroads from 6fl to the mile marker until the last half furlong fading when his chance gone.

Better going right handed and surely got a race of this nature in him off what looks a real winable mark today.

STATELY HOME @ 6/1 has decent 25% Win and Place stats here off around this rating and 50% of all right handed runs been in the money and would be my win choice and f/cast selection!

Tricky contest with 7lb seperating the runners

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