2013 Grand National

Aintree 4.15 ... Ballabriggs @ 25/1 Join Together @ 25/1 Oscar Time E/W @ 100/1 S.James

Ballabriggs runs off the same mark as winning this in 2011, and meets the 3 in front of him ( Sunnyhill Boy 20lb, Seabass 15lb, and Cappa Bleu 10lb) in this last season on vastly better terms when finishing around a 10 length 6th place. Going should be right up his street and Jason Maguire knows him extremelly well.
He meets Oscar Time 8lb worse than the 2011 event for a 2.25 length beating, which if running to that form on only his 2nd visit here, Oscar Time could hold every chance of turning that form around and with the 100/1 on offer worthy of some E/W interest.

Join Together's been running well in a couple of Group races when meeting trouble in running and just got beat by Hello Bud here in December on Heavy going, and with best form being on better going, if Daryl Jacob can keep him out of trouble in running i see him being right there at the finish with the step up in trip looking likely to suit on previous outings.

Oscar Time ... 4th  Full Result>>
Join Together ... 12th
Ballabriggs ... P/U

Jackpot Joy

REDCAR 3.40 ... SOCCER JACKPOT @ 12/1

Soccer Jackpot isn't over-raced for a 7Yr Old, but has a 20% winning strike rate overall with 4 wins and 5 placed efforts having only seen action on track 21 times.

His turf record not so hot with only 1 win from his11 turf outings but was running off 94 at his peak (in the Royal Hunt Cup) and has placed both occasions he has ran here at Redcar.
In the John Smith's Redcar Straight-mile Championship Final H'cap series in 2007, firstly he was beaten under a length off 77 in the Class3, then later that season around 1.5 length off 88 in the Class2 event. Today he runs off 75 in a Class4 off his lowest rating since winning his maiden by 5 length..

Is also having his first run for the Paul Midgley yard today, but has a history of going well after a break having won on 2 occasions for Clive Cox when reappearing fresh.

As a trainer Paul Midgley is a bit overlooked at the moment, as he's had 8 winners and 7 placed runners in the last 3 weeks with 7 of those winners in the last 14 days.
Russ Kenemore not exactly banging in the winners himself this month, but from only 3 runs for this yard all in the past week he has ridden a winner and a placed runner, and this is his only mount today.

Soccer Jackpot returns from claiming company when last seen which was on good/soft going, and was his only flat run this season yet he and the winner Song To The Moon were 5 length clear.  Having given Song To The Moon 8lb in that event, for him to go on to beat some rivals rating high 80's and 90's next time out makes me think Soccer Jackpot could be well in here off 13lb lower.

Although priced for some E/W value, off his lowest mark for 4 Yrs at the foot of the Handicap back in 0-85 company from what looks a decent draw in stall 9, Soccer Jackpot has plenty in his favour for a return to the winners enclosure.

3rd @ 16/1 ... Full Result>>                    Race Replay>>

Bets Be Careful

Today's racing doesn't inspire much I and will be keeping most stakes to a minimum just for a bit of interest whilst watching......
Bets Be Careful would be my best idea of a winning selection and will be my main bet today!

Bath 4.30 ... Best Be Careful @ 13/2

I had a long look at this race and came down to the following 3 runners.
LooK Whos Kool, Best Be Careful and Catalinas Diamond.

Look Whos Kool could figure on his effort when 2.5 length behind the 86 rated Fol Hollow in a claimer his penultimate run. He looks held by the selection on a line through Desert Strike who Comptonspirit accounted for before beating Best Be Careful last time out under a penalty. The 2nd from that event, Picabo had previously beaten the 80 rated Tyfos who was going for a hatrick.

Best Be Careful gets the vote on her effort last time out when behind those 2 recent winners (both rated 76).

Won @ 8/1 ... Full Result>>                    Race Replay>>


Bath 2.30 ... Lord Theo @ 25/1

Lord Theo ran up 3 wins in August at Nmkt 2 seasons ago finishing in a class3 h/cap off 16lb higher than today.
Won a few on the A/W over the winter before resuming in June with his 3 runs back on turf this season not amounting to much albeit in better grade contests.
Trainer really struggling for winners (none I think this season) and Jockey only had 3 winners 5 places earlier this month.
Horses is becoming well handicapped and he now drops into this class6 off a stone lower than June, so if the drop in class benefits a return to form perhaps a few quid at todays odds will pay for a night out.

Lost ... Full Result>>



Bath 4.00 ... Levantera @ 9/1

Again a bit of a speculative choice but didn't run too badly at Windsor on penultimate run over just short of 12 furlongs.
Can front run so this drop back to 10fl could see her in a better light as long as she doesn't go off too fast where the stiff finish will be the crucial factor.
She could be the one for an upset should the favourite, Dubawi Dancer, fail to run to expectations under another 9lb penalty.

3rd ... Full Result>>


Bath 5.00 ... Johnstown Lad @ 10/1

Andrea Atzeni only been up once before on this gelding and finished 2nd in a class4 Lingfield h/cap back in November 2009 off 9lb higher than today.
Johnstown Lad been running consistently on the A/W in Ireland (in 0-80 contests) off marks in the mid/high 70's, but 3 of his 4 wins been on turf and did win here that same season off 4lb higher so weighted to go in again if things go his way.
Apprentice ridden latest, but by a capable pilot so no real excuses there but he was giving the other runners weight all round, and had ran in 2 much stronger handicaps than this earlier.
Handles cut in the ground and this looks his easiest task for some time and priced with value to be had.

Lost ... Full Result>>



Folkestone 3.50 ... Osiris Way @ 13/2 Nb

Osiris Way runs off his lowest mark for the last 4 Yrs yet has a near 20% winning strike rate.
Handles most going and drops into this 0-80 grade for the first in along time.
Style And Panache could follow him home.

Lost ... Full result>>

Hezmah @ 13/2

GOODWOOD 5.00 ... HEZMAH @ 13/2

Favourite Girl being the only 5Yr Old in the contest back against her own sex should hold every chance, and her front runing style should suit at this course but she has a bit to prove giving upward of 9lb or more in weight against these 3Yr olds.
 

Hezmah is the one i am interested in today. Only raced 5 times yet a line through Whozthecat should give her the edge over the top weight today. Finished a length behind Whozthecat in July at Newmarket and although now only 1lb lower gets 13lb from Tim Easterby's mare who has gone up 3lb since finishing over a length behind Whozthecat earlier the same month.

Hezmah's 4th to Emmas Gift/Flood Plain in April at Ascot gives optomism for her chances today, given the proximity of their subsequent efforts to the 108 rated Theyskens' Theory at York. She has won over 7fl so this drop to 6fl on today's slower ground not so much a concern as the fact she has been slowly away the last twice at Newmarket.

Tadhg O'shea back in the plate having been aboard when she came from an uncompromising position from last on her penultimate run to finish a clear 3rd, so her abilty to stay with the ground riding soft in the last 4fl should help her cause taking on rivals more within her rating.

2nd ... Full Result>>                    Race Replay>>

Worth the Watch?

LEICESTER 3.00 ... WATCH CHAIN @ 10/1

With the weather dry overnight and the early  forecast rain this morning not arriving, and the remainder of the day being forecast to be mainly dry with the chance of an odd light shower. I'm willing to give Watch Chain the upper hand here.
He has been over 7fl latest when going well finishing 3rd (first 3 clear by 4 length) until the last furlong in a race which yesterday's 2 length (Class6) winner Ryedane was over 5 length behind him and today's contender Sairaam further adrift after racing alone.
Watch Chain ran over 5fl here early this month finding the trip on the sharp side, after just failing previously at Yarmouth over 6fl. Only 1lb higher here and got the box draw, but  Robert Winston in the plate who is currently riding at over 30% win strike rate.

Mount Hollow I have closely rated with Gracies Games, Mata Hari Blue and Belinsky, but the fact Sairaam finished over 7 length in front of Mount Hollow here in May when front running leads me back to Watch Chain.

If electing to take a prominent position again from the off, i can see the mare Sairaam being competitive at a decent price and worthy of a E/W wager, but on adjusted handicap ratings Watch Chain gets the win nod.


LEICESTER 3.00 .... SAIRAAM E/W @ 40/1

Usually a front runner who has gone well up to today's distance here when trying 7 furlongs.
This drop in trip could be ideal if she can get away smartly.
Had today's 12/1 shot Mount Hollow over 7 length behind here in May giving him 1lb.

Has to concede 7lb here but for the distance deficit Mount Hollow has to make up and @ 40/1 Sairaam looks the better value of the two runners.

Sairaam 2nd Mount Hollow Won ...

Full Result>>                  Race Replay>>

HAMILTON 7.45 ... ROKER PARK 2 Pts @ 8/1

Colonel Mak had both Lowther, (2nd in the 2009 Ayr Silver Cup off 8lb lower) and Irish Heartbeat behind in the 2010 Silver Cup and though possibly better drawn of the 3 runners that day, looks more a 6fl perfomer than those rivals and has won both outings here, albiet as a 2 Yr Old. His run at the Curragh latest he meets Tajneed on similar terms. But Roker Park is the one I am steering toward for this Year's Scottish Stewards Cup. He was 2nd in this very event in 2009 when beaten 3/4 length giving 4lb to Quest For Success who now resides on a 7lb higher mark.
Tajneed was beaten just over 3 length in that contest and is now 6lb higher in the handicap.
Roker Park however, even accounting for 2 wins in his last 4 outings since joining David O'Meara from Kevin Ryan, is now 3lb lower than 2009 so meets the Fahey runner 10lb better off tonight and Dandy Nicholls' Tajneed 9lb better, so if running to the form of late he should be bang there on the line.
Enderby Spirit was well beaten in this last Year off 3lb higher and can be an unlucky runner at 6fl as he gets going late, but has only ran 5 times since then and if the cards drop right he will be finishing fast.
Ginger Ted and We Have A Dream (who have possible the best wins per runs ratio at the distance) all met at Newcastle last time out when Everymanforhimself, had led in the last furlong finishing 2nd, when Ginger Ted (blocked in running) and Roker Park  (Blocked in Running, Rider lost Irons) were both held up and were unlucky in running.
ROKER PARK already tried at this level has less to prove than his rivals IMO, and still being handicapped to win again gets the vote!
Ginger Ted & Irish Heartbeat the dangers.

3rd ... Full Result>>

Advance to the Dance

Thirsk 3:50 ... Advanced @ 11/1

"Runs off his lowest mark and now a stone lower than when contesting last seasons Victoria Cup. Also ran in some of the top sprints last season and was only beaten 2 length when last seen at this venue in a Stakes contest to Markab (a 104 rated rival) on good/firm ground last April. Today's going should suit better and not out of this from a decent enough draw."

2nd ... Full Result>>


Newmarket 5:10 ... Boogie Diva @ 12/1

"Only 2lb higher than beating her elders first time up last year when having first run for Jane Chapple-Hyam. Again returns fresh on first run for another yard in a easier contest than late runs last season. Only previous effort here she finished 2nd to a subsequent (fillies) group winner now rated 105. None of the oposition come here in blinding form and with proven ability to go well after an absence, this 0-80 contest could be hers for the taking if George Margason has her ready."

Lost ... Full Result>>

BANK HOLIDAY

BEVERLEY 3.50 ... DOCTOR ZHIVAGO 2 Pts @ 13/2

Doctor Zhivago won both starts over this trip (albeit on Southwell's All Weather track, and one of those a 2 runner affair) when with previous trainer Mark Johnson yet was keeping better company thereafter in Class2 handicaps.
Drops back in trip having been over 10fl since those wins, but was running well latest start in a Class3 before hampered close home.
This represents another drop in grade, his first in this class handicap and showed he handles the going in earlier outings.
Worth taking the early 10's Betfair IMO as around 13/2 Bookmakers.

Doctor Zhivago 2 Pt win @ 13/2

2nd ... Full Result>>


KEMPTON 4.00 ... BIG NOISE 1 Pt E/W @ 28/1

Big Noise unraced as a 2Yr Old, has won twice first time out in the last 4 seasons so can go well fresh, and has finished second both all weather starts to date.
First A/W outing against Royal Rock (subsequent group winning sprinter off 105) over 6fl here as a 3Yr Old was outpaced over the shorter trip but stayed on well into 2nd.
Second A/W outing behind Riggins, gave him 7lb at Great Leighs off this mark in a similar grade3 H/cap.
Given that Riggins is much improved since then and unbeaten all outings on the A/W, (the latest success last November when dead heating (off 108) in the Hyde Stakes (listed) with Fanunalter, rated 105), suggest that Big Noise's defeat was somewhat warranted.

The booking of Jim Crowley (decent strike rate here) would suggest to me that Jon Scargill is hopeful of a good run, and with Big Noise having a strike rate of 4 wins, 4 places from 21 outings.

Big Noise @ 28/1 seems value for a 1 Pt E/W wager.

Last until final bend, finished around 6th
Lost ... Full Result>>

Hot Prospect?

KELSO 1.40 ... THE GALLOPING SHOE E/W

The Galloping Shoe could be excused his comeback run when breaking a blood vessle (Nose Bled) last month but on his final run at the end of last flat season his form was looking decent.

The Galloping Shoe ran within 2 length to Michael Jarvis's 103 rated Hot Prospect (thought good enough to contest the Derby) in a 10 furlong Heritage handicap contesting horses rated mid 80's upward.

Had a decent recruit in behind from that race, in Pires from Tony Martin's stable which has since won over hurdles off a mark of 116 and finished 3rd in the Cambridgeshire afterward.

Appears to handle most going and trainer has 3 winners & 4 placed runers from only 19 starts in the last month so worthy of an E/W wager IMO at the 85's on Betfair.

4th ... Full Result>>

NMKT

Newmarket 5.50 ... Decent Fella 2 Pt win @ 8/1

Decent runs for Edward Lynam in Ireland before a nice introduction for this stable at Newmarket when interupted in his challenge yet stayed on again when in the clear.
That form working out well with St Moritz running welll in the Royal Hunt Cup before winning the Bunbury Cup against rivals rated mid/low 100's with plenty other winners/placed runners coming from that Newmarket event.
Tried in 2 competitive events the last twice, and this drop on class in first time visor with a more senior jockey up could see him back in the winners enclosure today.

2nd ... Full Result>>

NEWCASTLE RACES

NEWCASTLE 3.00 ... BONNIE PRINCE BLUE 2 Pts @ 7/1 P.Power

Bonnie Prince Blue's last run here over 6fl was a decent effort under this pilot when fading in the final furlong.
Also ran well penultimate outing behind recent Class2 Haydock winner Confessional.
Confessional wasn't disgraced in the Portland (Class2) yesterday off 5lb higher beaten around 4.5 length.
This Class6 claimer looks easier than either those contests and at least is proven on today's softer going.
Drawn 4 on the far side so well berthed and will need a good pace which he should get.
On a line through Lesley's Choice, is closely mached at the weights with Northern Bolt but the 5lb claim of Dale Swift swings it in favour of Bonnie Prince Blue.

Bonnie Prince Blue 2 Pts @ 7/1

slowly away ... 3rd ... Full Result>>

Northern Bolt wins it! :0

What a Liberty!

Wolverhampton 6.20 ... Liberty Trail 1 Pt @ 14/1 Lads

This looks a real tight handicap with only 5lb between the field, Liberty Trail, who has the assistance of Louis-philippe Beuzeli and every pound of his 3lb claim will help the selection.

Jockey's confidence will have been boosted with a winner on both Wednesday and Thursday and his mount has dropped 10lb since last running here for his final 2 runs for Ian Semple which were in a better grade than tonight.

Not badly drawn if electing to make the running as he has done in the past and a nice price for his return to all weather in this lower class contest.
 
Liberty Trail 1 Pt @ 14/1
 
3rd ... Full Result>>

Sunday Selection's

CURRAGH 3.40 ... MISS JEAN BRODIE 1 Pt E/W @ 33/1 Generally ... 40's Exchanges

Miss Jean Brodie caught the eye on her debut at Kempton having been out the back early, and ran widest of all from the 2 furlong mark/final bend and cut through the field to grab third with a strong finish.
Showed that was no fluke with an impressive win last time out in a Doncaster Stakes beating Marywell when 5 length clear of the field.
Marywell's previous 2nd to Michael Stoutes Nouriya (entered in the Lyric Stakes Class1 at York on Friday) could be better than 1st glance.
The 10.5 length 6th from that Doncaster contest, Sea Of Galilee, won impressively eased down at Nottingham on Friday with the 3 length 2nd around 8 length clear of the 3rd runner.
Miss Jean Brodie is still to show her true potential and if improving as she has done on her 2 previous runs could turn out much better than her maiden success gives her credit.
Handling softer going here but not often you get 33/1 or more for a Godolphin runner and worthy of a E/W wager at the 40/1 odds on the exchanges.

Miss Jean Brodie 1 Pt E/W @ 33/1

2nd ... Full Result>>


CURRAGH 4.45 ... MASTA PLASTA @ 7/1

Masta Plasta won this event 2 seasons back under this jockey off a 3lb higher rating and has been running some good races lately in quick times.
Last time out at Epsom his 1 length 5th place was run faster than course average which was a more credible effort given he was drawn 2, giving weight to all his rivals, with all but one (drawn 9) of the 1st Eight home in double figure stalls.
Although arguably better with good/firm in the going description does handle this ground, though what he does need is a strong pace and should get that today.
Last Year's winner Just For Mary would be my selection for the runner up spot as he is proven on softer going whereas Airspace appears to want good or better ground on evidence to date. He is also weighted to better his position with Airspace on 8lb better terms than their latest encounter.

Masta Plasta 1 Pt win
Just For Mary 1/2 Pt F/C

Lost ... Full Result>>

DUELLIST

NEWMARKET 8.10 ... DUELLIST 1 Pt @ 11/1 Generally Available

Duellist didn't appear to handle the track at Epsom latest and finished 6.5 length behind the winner. The 2nd from that contest was Treadwell who, having been raised to 4lb higher than that Epsom race, won today's Buckingham Palace off a mark of 98 beating rivals rated up to 103.

With the form of his run behind Treadwell being franked I am willing to take the chance Epsom didnt suit and give him the chance to prove it.
His previous 2 efforts over a mile looked too far and returning to this 7fl looks a good move with best efforts at the distance.

A line through Kajima & Quick Wit would bring him closer to Man Of Action and a Reverse F/C to smaller stakes could pay dividends if that one lives up to favouritism.

Duellist 1 Pt @ 11/1

3rd N 1st... Full Result>>

REDCAR 3.30 ... VISIONS OF JOHANNA @ 9/2

Vision Of Johanna was running in higher grades for Jeremy Noseda (OR83) at his best and dropped gradually in the ratings with some close efforts off that mark for Richard Fahey until last time out on 3rd run for this stable when winning in a slightly stronger contest than this.
Been raised 5lb for that success, but beat rivals rated a few 1b higher than this contest allows and the 1st two were 6 length clear.
This only his 6th run in a class5 and has won 2 and placed 2nd the other 3 in this grade.
At the 5/1 on offer I feel an all or nothing wager as could just be on the right side of the handicap to take this !

Avitus ran a 75 rated Mark Johnson runner 1.75 length 2nd here last season off 4lb higher with Justonefortheroad (winner of a class5 Ayr h/cap last Thurday off 75) just behind in 3rd so could be the one to give the selection most to do back on this course and would be my selection for a small stake f/c.

Vision Of Johanna 1 Pt @ 9/2

3rd N 2nd ... Full Result>>

Dubai Dynamo

DONCASTER 3.00 ... DUBAI DYNAMO 2 Pts @ 11/1

Ruth Carr looks to have a decently handicapped horse here returning to the flat off 12lb lower than last season.
In decent form on the All Weather winning off 5lb higher at this trip on his penultimate outing with 2 running on efforts either side of that over 6fl.

Drops into this Class4 for the 1st time since his win here as a 2yr Old over this trip in a Class3, which he followed winning Redcars 2 Yr Old Trophy where he had last years winner of this event Mr Hardy in arrears.
Raised 15lb for that wasn't disgraced in a Group3 at Newbury and has been contesting mostly Class2 h/caps since he left Stan Moore.
Still looked high in the handicap for Paul Cole as a 3Yr Old where he last ran at 7fl on soft going where he didn't get the clearest of runs against rivals rated in the mid/high 90's but stayed on once clear.
Given a bit leniency returned last season off 8lb lower to 86 and won the london Mile Qualifier at Kempton over a mile so stamina shouldn't be an issue here.
Last time out had yesterday's Lincoln 2nd Prime Exhibit behind when running off 95, and with Andew Elliot regular pilot since joining the yard and dropping 2 grades in class is looking much better treated off 11lb lower here.


Dubai Dynamo 2 Pts @ 11/1 V.C. WillHill. 10/1 Lads

3rd ... Full Result>>

CHELTENHAM

CHELTENHAM 1.30 ... SOLDATINO @ 11/2

Carlito Brigante, current favourite had Blazing Buck and Investissment's conqueror, 'Baccalaureate,' around 20 length in arrears last time so justifies favouritism on that score.
A line through Ultimate who was getting 3lb from Soldatino should give the Henderson runner a good chance against Carlito Brigante who also looks to have the upper hand on Alaivan.
Ultimate had made errors behind Carlito and though jumping errors again found Ultimate out, Soldatino won nicely thrown into Group company on that first race for the yard.
The runners behind P.Nicholls Advisor haven't done much to frank the form of that one and the Irish runner Pittoni may be the stronger challenger of the remainder.

Won ... Soldatino 1 Pt @ 11/2

Full Result>>

CHELTENHAM 2.05 ... ROCK NOIR @ 11/1

Already a Group1 winner in the French provinces and had Jumbo Rio (rated 155) behind on final run there.
Jumbo Rio went undisgraced in the Champion Hurdle on Tuesday with those in front multiple grade 1 winners (rated between 6lb - 13lb higher)
Has top weight and going very different today but McCoy having a decent festival and this McManus runner deserves plenty respect.
Santa's Son down the bottom of the weights is 20lb lower than whan contesting last year's Queen Mother Champion Chase now back over hurdles and could be interesting off his low weight.

Lost ... Rock Noir 1 Pt @ 11/1

Full Result>>

CHELTENHAM 2.40 ... NAJAF 1 Pt E/W @ 25/1 Lads

Was a running on 3rd in the Group1 won by Rock Noir (Jumbo Rio 2nd) and won his 1st outing here at Exeter in a Listed event when looking like he needed the run.
Should come on a lot for that and though stepping up in trip this better going should suit.

NAJAF 1 Pt E/W @ 25/1

2nd ... Full Result>>

Bramalea 1 Pt @ 10/1 (circa)

A restless night yesterday and been difficult to get my head round it today. Keeping stakes low but I believe this one fits a winning profile.


Wolverhampton 4.30 Bramalea 1 Pt @ 10/1 (circa)

A small mare trained by Bredan Duke, who hasn't been disgraced with a few spins over the jumps the winter gone but doesn't look built for the game.
She travells well in her races and the further step up in trip on the flat looks warranted.
Ran some of her best races here as from all 15 all weather runs has seen 2 wins and a 3rd place in 8 runs here.
Last 3 runs here all stepped up to 12fl winning the first and running a big race last time when came wide round the outside of the field from the 3 fl pole and her ground was taken by the eventual 2nd and 3rd, Quinsman & Benedict Spirit (won since) coming together with the 4th, Vertigo On Course going for the same space.
Robert Winston retains the ride, his 2nd time on the horse and runs off the same mark as last time in a 61-77 Rated, but this (0-65) looks slightly easier.

Full Result>>


This one I may consider for trading to small stakes on the exchanges:

Kempton 7.45 Wise Dennis
Been well h/capped since last summer and running off lowest mark for 5 Yrs.
Only had 4 starts on the all weather. Once at Lingfield in a 2Yr Old Nursery.
Won a Class2 7fl h/cap at Southwell in 2007 off 11lb higher but finished last of 13 runners there his final start last season after a disappointing stint at Nad al Sheba. Had won at listed level there in 2008 off 18lb higher than today so dropped a long way since then.

Wise Dennis' only one previous visit here was 2nd in a mile Listed contest, to what turned out a decent sort in Ventura.
Ventura went on to join Robert Frankel in America and win 4 and get 3 second places at up to Grade 1 level, to accumulate over $2M in prize money thereafter.

Wise Dennis has won 1st time up returning form a break and this his 1st run in as low as Class3 since 2004 so a possible outsider which may surprise if ready to go after 4 month off.

3rd ... Full Result>>

Brand New Start

Lingfield 14:55 ... Sapphire Prince 2 Pts @ 8/1 Betfred .. S.James
7/1 Gen available elsewhere

After running in the Weatherbys Superlative Stakes (group 2) as a 2Yr Old, Sapphire Prince was running in mostly Class4-5 company since where his mark has dropped 20lb from that run, and 11lb since August last Year here off 9St 12lb in a Class 5 h/cap over 7fl.


Won a Class 5 turf h/cap off 8lb higher in November and drops into this class for the 1st time since winning a 6fl maiden at Great Leighs.


Trainer had a recent winner on Friday after a spell away from the winners enclosure, and with Jockey George baker riding with a recent 27% winning strike rate.

Off his lowest mark Sapphire Prince has a strong chance of taking this low grade contest.



hd, nk, 3rd ... Full Result>>

THURSDAY'S SELECTION'S ....... Dont miss the Bus

SOUTHWELL 2.40 ... SWINBROOK/DON PELE

Swinbrook, still on his lowest mark since 4 Years ago has normally needed his 1st run of the season and won 2nd time out both last year and in 2006. Finished 4th in the Bunbury Cup in 2006 when with James Toller off 18lb higher than today so could still be well treated on past form. Missed the break on his return behind Don Pele and surely better than that run having at least won a Class4 h/cap here off this mark.
Needs to break on terms, and if doing so should better his last run.

1 point win .......1/2 point reverse F/C

plus 9.43 points

 

FULL RESULT>>


SOUTHWELL 3.45 ... MUSIC BOX EXPRESS

Ideally drawn for a front runner and will appreciate the drop in trip having made most over 6fl last 3outings.
Stoneacre Baby drawn alongside has a tendency to miss the kick so Music should get an uninterrupted start.
Ducal Regency Red (drawn 3) can hang right coming out the gates and may impede likely fav This Ones For Pat, causing a tightening up to the rails runners leaving our selection clear.
Martingrange Boy is returning from 17 months off and may need another run to get in the winners enclosure, but likes to bowl along and could be the one for the F/C as he normally breaks sharply (drawn 8) and has the assistance of Robert Winston.

1 point win ....... 1/2 point F/C

3rd minus 1 & 1/2 points

FULL RESULT>>

LUDLOW 3.35 ... MIZEN RAVEN/SPRING LOVER

Mizen Raven is all the talk for the move to Tim Vaughan but could have most to fear from the Venetia Williams trained gelding, who has either won or placed 9 from 17 outings here and is only 2lb above his best winning mark. Has the stamina for 3 miles but best runs at around this trip as 3 times a winner testifies.
Led for a long way at Doncaster against horses rated a Stone superior in a better race and a return to this quicker going will suit.
His previous 2nd to Fresh Air And Fun is working out with that one going in again since.
The form of Mizen Raven is working out extremelly well however, and will surely be the one to beat and could be the 2 fighting out the finish.

won 1 point win ...... 1/2 point reverse F/C

 

levels on the race

FULL RESULT>>

 

KEMPTON 8.20 ... MARAJAA @ 10/1
Marajaa ridden by Chris Catlin looks worth a 1 point wager as he is now 7lb below his last winning mark at this venue and is dropping into this grade for the 1st ever time.
Could take this if only 90% fit against what look Class 5 H/cappers at best!!

minus 1 point beaten 2 & 1/4 length

FULL RESULT>>