Showing posts with label racing tip. Show all posts
Showing posts with label racing tip. Show all posts

Saturday, 9 July 2016

Katch the 6/1

YORK 4.50 ... KACHY @ 6/1 Bet365

John Smith's City Walls Stakes (Listed) 


A promising looking 3 Yr Old from Tom Dascombe's stable, KACHY.


Wasn't disgraced last time out in the 6fl Commonwealth Cup (Group 1) having led the last half of the contest until headed 100 yards from home and finishing 2nd to Quiet Reflection (now rated 117) who has won its last 5 races at Listed through to Group level.


Back at 5fl where Richard Kingscote has ridden this Colt to all 3 success' all at this trip (3 - 4) I feel the 6/1 on offer from Bet365 looks a steal


Friday, 18 September 2015

AYR 5.20 ... ADVENTUREMAN @ 6/1


Adventureman was having 2nd run for Ruth Carr returning from around 10 week break having been running in Ireland previous.
 Blocked in his run was a little unlucky not to have been closer to winning that 0-74 event, but the 2nd, Argaki (OR 72), franked the form winning here yesterday, and though not ran at a great pace it was in a stronger Class4 over this trip for horses rated up to 85.
James Sullivan keeps the ride and this one his best chance of a winner from 3 rides for the trainer today back against his own age group in this Class5 0-70.


Lost ... Result>>

AYR 3.05 ... CAPRIOR BERE @ 20/1 bET365 ... 25/1 available places


Caprior Bere stays quite well which is usually a requisite for this 6fl at Ayr, especially with some cut in the going. Lowish draw (5) not insurmountable given he is usually held up or off the pace and comes from behind.
Penultimate run behind Magical Memory is working out really well formwise with the 4th winning next 2 outings, the 2nd also winning next 2 off 96 before running 6length behind the winner in a Group3 off 105.
Magical Memory also went on to win 2 Heritage Handicaps off 96 before a 1length 3rd in the Betfred Sprint Cup Group1 (off OR 110), to Twilight Son (OR 106) with Strath Burn a previous Group3 winner running off 106 in 2nd place.
Lastest run Caprior Bere ran over 7fl at Doncaster with what looked an improved show and runs off the same mark (86) here with Jordan Vaughan taking off 5lb. Sakhee's Return 6length behind who accounted for George Bowen previously at York.
With only 7lb between the whole field there is only Your Pal Tal carrying less weight, with jockeys allowance, but he was well beaten by George Bowen at the Curragh.
New Bidder improved lately and won its last 2 here when Blinkers were applied, but does handle cut and has won at Class3 level as a 3Yr old.
Last years 3rd, My Name Is Rio looks held by Adam's Ale on last run and is now 6lb higher.
Adam's Ale, who would be my selection for the F/Cast, is closely matched with Signora Picollo when said not to face the cheekpieces at Doncaster in July, but has Philip Makin in the saddle who rode well here yesterday bagging a treble.
Likely Favourite Dragon King is lightly raced, but looks too short @ 11/2 off 5lb higher than last win up another grade.


Lost ... Result>>

Friday, 4 September 2015


Newcastle 4:30 ... Shesnotforturning @ 5/1 BET365 


Shesnotforturning returned from a 2Yr Lay-off, having been tried over Hurdles when last seen in 2013. 
Her first run back on the flat this Year, she finished 2nd here in May to the then 58 rated Advanced (Who won last start here in a Class5 off 71, and been keeping company with 75 plus rated rivals since). 
Shesnotforturning then ran in 2 amatuer events placing in both before winning her median auction stakes by 3.5 length on good/soft after taking a front running role. 

Ran well again last time here in a 7fl Class5 0-69 being in a prominent position early from the 1 stall, until fading close home. The 2nd, Liberal Angel franked the form winning off 63 here 3 days later beating rivals in the low 70's. 

Another 2lb lower today dropping back into Class6 0-55 company from the same stall with Tom Eaves in the saddle, should again be competitive back on ground she handles!


Lost ... Result>>

Saturday, 6 April 2013

2013 Grand National

Aintree 4.15 ... Ballabriggs @ 25/1 Join Together @ 25/1 Oscar Time E/W @ 100/1 S.James

Ballabriggs runs off the same mark as winning this in 2011, and meets the 3 in front of him ( Sunnyhill Boy 20lb, Seabass 15lb, and Cappa Bleu 10lb) in this last season on vastly better terms when finishing around a 10 length 6th place. Going should be right up his street and Jason Maguire knows him extremelly well.

He meets Oscar Time 8lb worse than the 2011 event for a 2.25 length beating, which if running to that form on only his 2nd visit here, Oscar Time could hold every chance of turning that form around and with the 100/1 on offer worthy of some E/W interest.

Join Together's been running well in a couple of Group races when meeting trouble in running and just got beat by Hello Bud here in December on Heavy going, and with best form being on better going, if Daryl Jacob can keep him out of trouble in running i see him being right there at the finish with the step up in trip looking likely to suit on previous outings.


Oscar Time ... 4th  Full Result>>
Join Together ... 12th
Ballabriggs ... P/U

Sunday, 12 August 2012

Welcome back??

4:30 Folkestone ... Moose Moran @ 25/1

Moose Moran, formerly with Sir Henry Cecil on the flat running in such races as the Melrose and Queen's Vase before a stint over Hurdles with firstly Nicky Henderson, then a couple of runs for David pipe earlier this Year.

Joined Olivia Maylam where his last 2 runs in Class4 & Class3 contests respectively, has saw his mark drop a massive 20lb for those uninspiring efforts, though made most in first time visor (retained) over 14fl latest suggesting the drop to this trip looks warranted.
He also drops into Class5 company for the 1st time, and considering he was competing with rivals rated 112 off 29lb higher in a listed contest 2 seasons back, the handicapper has given him a chance today and show early expectations were justified.

Cecil's runner Romantic, or the other former Hurdler Scotbrook Cloud in his first turf handicap, could rate the dangers though the competition today have yet to prove themselves and win on turf in this grade.

With the defection of 2 of the earlier intended runners, the E/W is now down to 2 places but Moose Moran's class could certainly be worth chancing with both this drop in the ratings and grade sure to be in his favour.


3rd ... Full Result>>

Friday, 3 February 2012

WITHOUT any PREJUDICE

WOLVERHAMPTON 3.15 ... WITHOUT PREJUDICE E/W @ 19's & 5's Betfair around 12/1 Industry SP

Currently trading around the 19's mark on Bretfair I reckon this will drop in price to more around the industry SP of 10/1 - 12/1 before the off giving us a free wager, and also the chance of a nice priced winner.

Won 3 stronger handicaps on turf off higher marks, albeit over 7fl, before missing 2010, but his last couple of races are working out well already.

Penultimate run saw the 3rd Ezra Church come out and win by 8 length yesterday over 7fl (App h/cap), and the 4th Faithful Ruler win a seller over this trip before a 2nd again over 9fl in another seller.

Without Prejudice's latest run 2nd behind Tislam, he finished 3/4 length in front of the hat trick seeking Perfect Cracker, with yesterday's winner Viva Ronaldo, beating some 85 rated horses in a Class4 handicap here over this trip, another length behind in 4th.

Legal Legacy another 3/4 length back in 5th has since ran within 1 length 2nd place to Prince Of Burma, who beat today's rival (9/2 Shot) Master Of Dance 2.5 length last week.

The 6.5 length 8th place runner Avonrose, since won a Class5 over 7fl at Southwell, but did run 2nd over 9fl last February here to Star Links who (now rated 83) went off joint/favourite and was 4th to Viva Renaldo in that Class4 here yesterday.

If the break has done him well, I feel Without Prejudice will outperform his odds, or he could completely bomb out .......


 but at the price @ 19's mark to win and 5's to place on Bretfair, worth the 1Pt E/W gamble IMO.......

4th ... Full Result>>                    Race Replay>>

Saturday, 17 December 2011

Smaller race but Bigger Bucks!

ASCOT 3.05 ... DUC DE REGNIERE @ 33/1

Only 5 times out the places from 20 outings winning 8 starts with a 40% overall winning strike rate.
Last 3 hurdles runs behind (174 rated Big Bucks) in Group races and finished a 3 length 2nd to that rival in the 2010 Long Distance Hurdle at Newbury.
Reverts to Chasing in this Listed event off only 5lb higher than last win at Cheltenham in spring of 2010 when winning his last 3 runs over the larger obstacles.
Has won over hurdles @ 3 miles so this step up in trip over fences not an insurmountable task and is 4 from 6 Chasing.
Given his overall profile I think the 33/1 on offer is too big to ignore and worthy of a E/W investment at least.
Well capable of landing this off this mark if recent run over hurdles, again behind Big Bucks in Newbury's Long Distance Hurdle on 1st run for Tom Symonds has blown away the cobwebs "


P/U ... Full Result>>

Saturday, 5 November 2011

Have a Fling

Doncaster 4.10 ... Northern Fling @ 14/1

Northern Fling's only other run here at 7fl was for Dandy Nicholls back in 2009 when running in a Class2 h/cap off 15lb higher than today.

Has won here off 23lb higher, (albeit in a class2 sprint for horses rated 86 to 96) from 4 runs at Doncaster, but has been running well for Jim Goldie since joining the yard after being stepped up from sprint distances.

He drops into this grade 5 for the first ever time, yet with his jockey's 5lb claim is only 2lb off bottom weight today and off his lowest mark since handicapping.

Jason Hart has won 2 from 11 in the last fortnight (18% win strike rate) and with either winning/placed on around 30% of all rides this season should be losing a couple more pounds of his claim sooner, rather than later.

Off his reduced mark, Northern Fling should be capable of winning this final flat turf handicap of the season.


Lost ... Full Result>>                    Race Replay>>

Sunday, 30 October 2011

4 Timer on the Cards????

Carlisle 2.40 ... Etxalar @ 9/1 Lads

Minster Shadow has failed to complete in all 3 runs since finishing just behind in 2nd in this event behind Extelar last Year yet runs off the same mark today.

Lucinda Russell is going for a 4 timer in this contest, and Etxalar is only 2lb higher than winning this last season.
He was still last at the 4th last fence having chased a strong pace throughout. Fair enough the leaders tired close home but the way he made up ground suggests he is probably best early in the Year as he came here fresh to win this.

Etxalar has won 1st time up for the last 3 seasons so the absence since April no great concern and this years contest doesn't look any stronger.
All best runs with soft in the going description and a lot in his favour for another winning return.

Sue Smith's runner Lackamon (thrown into the deep end so to speak) is unexposed over the larger obstacles, yet the trainer obviously holds him in high enough regard to take his chance here, and he did win his 1st chase well enough to warrant respect in this. Shane Byrne rides this track well and has around a 25% winning strike rate here for the stable and is worthy of a saver @ 11/1 on offer and is my selection for a r/f/c.


Lost ... Full Result>>                    Race Replay>>

Friday, 28 October 2011

A Win for Rose


Uttoxeter 2.35 ... Rosewin @ 100/30 Lads, Stan James, Bet365.

Ollie Pears has acquired the assistance of Noel Fehily for the ride on Rosewin who has won 6 and placed 10 times from only 27 outings (on the flat).
Noel Fehily has a decent record round here and is currently riding just around the 20% win strike rate.

This course should suit her style of running as Rosewin seemingly has a liking for left handed tracks having won last 2 at Catterick (a track she has always ran well at).
Last win there she beat Los Nadis, a subsequent winner of 2 Class3 Perth Hurdles before reverting to the flat taking the 2 Mile Scottish Cup Handicap (For The Willie Park Trophy) on Wednesday gone.


Rosewin is said to have schooled well, and if translating her flat form to this discipline, she should be the one they all have to aspire to.

U/R @ 2nd  :(  ... Full Result>>                    Race Replay>>


Wolverhampton 8.40 ... Without Prejudice @ 8/1 Lads, PaddyPower, Stan James.

Won his only run at Kempton ( one of 3 runs on different A/W tracks) and tumbled 19lb down the ratings since last run on Lingfield's A/W track back in 2009 for Jeremy Noseda.
Beat today's 4/1 shot Violent Velocity at York that same Year by 3 and 1/4 length giving him 3lb, yet is running off the same mark as him today and is trading at twice the price?
Needs a return to the A/W to bring about improvement from recent turf runs, but won well enough early last month at Leicester and most of his wins have come at this time of Year.

Worthy of a wager @ the 8/1 on offer

A double on today's selection's will pay 38/1

Wednesday, 26 October 2011

4 X 4

Musselburgh 2.40 ... Mission Impossible @ 13/2

Although seemingly better with cut in the ground he does handle most going and has won 3 and placed 5 times from 15 at the trip on a variety of ground so not an overall bad record.
Second stint with Tracy Waggott and he wasn't beaten far latest taking on horses rated 15lb higher than today and this is more in line with this Grey's level of ability.

5th ... Full Result>>                    Race Replay>>


Nottingham 3.40 ... Desert Romance @ 12/1

Won 1st start for David O'meara at Newcastle under a positive front running ride and been running in better class since.
Ran well from the front here latest over 10fl and returns to this grade over a more suitable trip.
Off last winning mark with jockey claiming another 5lb to lighten the burden he should find this task much easier today.

4th ... Full Result>>                    Race Replay>>


Musselburgh 3.50 ... Bowdler's Magic @ 7/1

Best form on faster going but does handle some cut and finished 2nd in this last season (Gd/Sft ...Sft in places) off this rating as a 3Yr Old and should have matured sufficiently for a winning return.
Today's better ground also a positive given he has top weight and this represents a good drop in class.
The one to beat.

Lost ... Full Result>>                    Race Replay>>


Haydock 4.00 ... Morning Moment @ 10/1

Tried in a better class contest last time out on soft when apprentice ridden (fell) but has won both starts under today's pilot on similar going as today.
Up 9lb from his penultimate run/win but his only success' so far on good to firm going and with a 40% strike rate from only 5 times under rules surely there is more to come.

Won ... Full Result>>                    Race Replay>>

Saturday, 8 October 2011

KEYS

Newmarket 3.50 .... KEYS @ 14/1

Roger Charlton never rushes his horses in my opinion, so Keys must hold a strong chance of following up his last 2 success' off 10lb higher than last time out after not getting the best of runs.
Having been drawn wide today he will have a similar run as last time to overcome, but he appeared to win that comfortably having been held up and came home late to beat Colour Vision.

Trainer has around 20% win strike rate, and around 40% of runners this season have either won/placed.
Interesting he books Richard hughes (35% strike rate this season)

14/1 looks a standout price either win or E/W but on the Nose for me!!

Colour Vision and Rainforest Magic the dangers on recent runnings/improved efforts, and would be my selections for the F/C

Lost ... Full Result>>                    Race Replay>>

Sunday, 4 September 2011

Henry Joseph

YORK 3.30 ... JOSEPH HENRY @ 20/1

Joseph Henry returns from a 5 week break but won 1st time up this season. He ran 2 good races here last September/October off similar marks to today.


Made most the running over 6fl before Hitchens (Now a group performer) took over close home.
Tried similar tactics here over 7fl when Thirsk Hunt Cup winner Justonefortheroad outbattled him over the extra distance, with Eton Rifles also coming from that contest.

I expect to see him go out in front again but this oposition not so strong looking and hopefully he's still in front when the line comes

Lost ... Full Result>>                    Race Replay>>

Saturday, 3 September 2011

It's Time

HAYDOCK 3.00 ... MEDICI TIME @ 16/1 ... ZERO MONEY R/F/C

Medici Time is a bit overlooked by the layers @ 16/1.
His run in June at York is working out extremely well with the 2nd, 3rd and 4th all winning decent races since. Even the runner who finished last, beaten 12.5 length was Mayoman who won the class4 handicap for us here yesterday.

The 4th Captain Carey, took the Rockingham Handicap at the Curragh, and the 3rd Ancient Cross won the Gosforth Park Cup Class2 before his 4.5 length defeat to Hoof it in the Stewards Cup. The 2nd place runner, Magical Macey had also beaten yesterdays 1,2 Mayoman and Invincible Lad 3.5 length and 7.25 length respectively.

Medici Time was squeezed out on his penultimate run in the Ritz Club Handicap when going for the hat trick and though perhaps may not have won, lost at least 3rd, a race in which Cheveton was another 6 length behind.

His last run was against conqueror Hoof It, lately going on to a respectable 4.5 length to Margot Did versus some of the top sprinters rated high 100's in the Nunthorpe Stakes Group1.

A  line through Lujeanie who finished 2nd to Medici Time 3 runs back, gives Zero Money the edge on form and is a worthy favourite and I reckon these 2 will be fighting out the finish and perhaps warrant a r/f/c.

From a value perspective Medici Time gets the win vote.

Lost ... Zero Money  ... Full Result>>                    Race Replay>>


HAYDOCK 2.30 ... DEAUVILLE FLYER @ 10/1

Strangely enough another Easterby runner under the same jockey.

Anyhow this horse been running in the staying handicaps all seaon and deserves to win this with luck in running.
Went well in the John Smith's Silver Cup at York then ran in the Northumberland Plate where he has a good 8lb pull with Tominator from that encounter, and was 5th there last year.

He ran well here when twice hampered behind Activate in May, only beaten 2 length and has a 3lb pull on revised terms.

Although won here on heavy he handles most ground and only ever out the placings in 8 from 22 starts.

No sort of run for Deauville Flyer :(

Lost ... Full Result>>                    Race Replay>>


Would it be bold to assume another double today ?? At the prices an E/W wager could pay dividends!

Updating.......

Friday, 2 September 2011

A quiet day???

HAYDOCK 1.40 ... MAYOMAN @ 9/1

Mayoman 's was giving Nomoreblondes a Stone last time they met and has got a 19lb pull (including jockeys claim) from their last encounter @ York so sits below him in the handicap and receives weight from all the other runners too.
He also has a 9lb pull with OldJoeSaid from their Thirsk encounter for a couple of length deficit on good/soft going.
Mayoman had excuses last 2 efforts, rider lost stirrup iron, hampered behind Pelmanism, soft going possibly didn't suit before those runs.
Back on a more sound surface and back at 5fl, where he has 4 wins and 2 placed runs from 15, we should see a better show especially as he carries no weight here (8Stone 4lb)
With the exception of Beauty Pageant (concedes 3lb to Nomoreblondes)  he has possibly the best strike rate at the distance too.


Won @ 6/1 ... Full Result>>                   Race Replay>>


HAYDOCK 2.10 ... PELMANISM @ 3/1

Pelmanism finished in front of Mayoman last run here at Haydock so a good run from Mayoman would boost the form of Pelmanism in the 2.10 contest on todays card and i reckon these 2 should also be paired in a small double.

Won @ 2/1 ... Full Result>>                    Race Replay>>

Double also landed @ 40/1


BRIGHTON 5.20 ... YURTUNI @ 9/2

Yurituni's run behind (the 89 rated) Drawnfromthepast in a class3 contest at Bath in July was ran in a much faster time than the class6 Interact and the class5 Delira both ran in there the same month.
OK she has to give these rivals weight dropping in grade, but surely is the classiest Filly in this field!

Won @ 7/2 ... Full Result>>                    Race Replay>>

One for the Treble???

Treble Also Landed @ 220/1

Thursday, 1 September 2011

Jackpot Joy

REDCAR 3.40 ... SOCCER JACKPOT @ 12/1

Soccer Jackpot isn't over-raced for a 7Yr Old, but has a 20% winning strike rate overall with 4 wins and 5 placed efforts having only seen action on track 21 times.

His turf record not so hot with only 1 win from his11 turf outings but was running off 94 at his peak (in the Royal Hunt Cup) and has placed both occasions he has ran here at Redcar.
In the John Smith's Redcar Straight-mile Championship Final H'cap series in 2007, firstly he was beaten under a length off 77 in the Class3, then later that season around 1.5 length off 88 in the Class2 event. Today he runs off 75 in a Class4 off his lowest rating since winning his maiden by 5 length..

Is also having his first run for the Paul Midgley yard today, but has a history of going well after a break having won on 2 occasions for Clive Cox when reappearing fresh.

As a trainer Paul Midgley is a bit overlooked at the moment, as he's had 8 winners and 7 placed runners in the last 3 weeks with 7 of those winners in the last 14 days.
Russ Kenemore not exactly banging in the winners himself this month, but from only 3 runs for this yard all in the past week he has ridden a winner and a placed runner, and this is his only mount today.

Soccer Jackpot returns from claiming company when last seen which was on good/soft going, and was his only flat run this season yet he and the winner Song To The Moon were 5 length clear.  Having given Song To The Moon 8lb in that event, for him to go on to beat some rivals rating high 80's and 90's next time out makes me think Soccer Jackpot could be well in here off 13lb lower.

Although priced for some E/W value, off his lowest mark for 4 Yrs at the foot of the Handicap back in 0-85 company from what looks a decent draw in stall 9, Soccer Jackpot has plenty in his favour for a return to the winners enclosure.

3rd @ 16/1 ... Full Result>>                    Race Replay>>

Wednesday, 31 August 2011

Bets Be Careful

Today's racing doesn't inspire much I and will be keeping most stakes to a minimum just for a bit of interest whilst watching......
Bets Be Careful would be my best idea of a winning selection and will be my main bet today!

Bath 4.30 ... Best Be Careful @ 13/2

I had a long look at this race and came down to the following 3 runners.
LooK Whos Kool, Best Be Careful and Catalinas Diamond.

Look Whos Kool could figure on his effort when 2.5 length behind the 86 rated Fol Hollow in a claimer his penultimate run. He looks held by the selection on a line through Desert Strike who Comptonspirit accounted for before beating Best Be Careful last time out under a penalty. The 2nd from that event, Picabo had previously beaten the 80 rated Tyfos who was going for a hatrick.

Best Be Careful gets the vote on her effort last time out when behind those 2 recent winners (both rated 76).

Won @ 8/1 ... Full Result>>                    Race Replay>>


Bath 2.30 ... Lord Theo @ 25/1

Lord Theo ran up 3 wins in August at Nmkt 2 seasons ago finishing in a class3 h/cap off 16lb higher than today.
Won a few on the A/W over the winter before resuming in June with his 3 runs back on turf this season not amounting to much albeit in better grade contests.
Trainer really struggling for winners (none I think this season) and Jockey only had 3 winners 5 places earlier this month.
Horses is becoming well handicapped and he now drops into this class6 off a stone lower than June, so if the drop in class benefits a return to form perhaps a few quid at todays odds will pay for a night out.

Lost ... Full Result>>



Bath 4.00 ... Levantera @ 9/1

Again a bit of a speculative choice but didn't run too badly at Windsor on penultimate run over just short of 12 furlongs.
Can front run so this drop back to 10fl could see her in a better light as long as she doesn't go off too fast where the stiff finish will be the crucial factor.
She could be the one for an upset should the favourite, Dubawi Dancer, fail to run to expectations under another 9lb penalty.

3rd ... Full Result>>


Bath 5.00 ... Johnstown Lad @ 10/1

Andrea Atzeni only been up once before on this gelding and finished 2nd in a class4 Lingfield h/cap back in November 2009 off 9lb higher than today.
Johnstown Lad been running consistently on the A/W in Ireland (in 0-80 contests) off marks in the mid/high 70's, but 3 of his 4 wins been on turf and did win here that same season off 4lb higher so weighted to go in again if things go his way.
Apprentice ridden latest, but by a capable pilot so no real excuses there but he was giving the other runners weight all round, and had ran in 2 much stronger handicaps than this earlier.
Handles cut in the ground and this looks his easiest task for some time and priced with value to be had.

Lost ... Full Result>>



Folkestone 3.50 ... Osiris Way @ 13/2 Nb

Osiris Way
runs off his lowest mark for the last 4 Yrs yet has a near 20% winning strike rate.
Handles most going and drops into this 0-80 grade for the first in along time.
Style And Panache could follow him home.

Lost ... Full result>>

Tuesday, 30 August 2011

A claim by Ponty

RIPON 3.35 ... PONTY ACCLAIM @ 7/2

 Ponty Acclaim's 3lb rise to 85 seems fair for her latest run at York in the Yearling Stakes.
It was franked in no uncertain terms by the 3rd from that event, Gerfalcon, winning the Ripon Champion 2Yr Old Trophy (Listed) yesterday, running to a mark of 95.

Ponty Acclaim's run in Weatherbys Super Sprint previously she fared quite well in 7th of 20 considering she was hampered early on yet still finished just over 3 length off the winning Colt, Charles The Great who went on to a respectable 3rd in the Molecomb Stakes (Group 3) on his last outing.

Risky Art who finished 9 length behind Ponty at Thirsk would bring Kool Henry, (a winner on soft) into the equation as he had Risky Art over 4 length in arrears at York in July.

Signifer, also hampered early in the Super Sprint has a bit to find with the selection but should be thereabouts.

Ponty Acclaim gets the win vote as her form looks strongest to date.

Won ... Full Result>>                    Race Replay>>



Update: 13.40 pm ....... RIPON 4.10 ...

After backing Mirrored last time i thought he was better handicapped than stablemate Crackenthorp who eventually won the York race they contested.
Since reading the saddle slipped on Mirrored on that occasion i would be prepared to give the Easterby runner another chance here dropping another grade and still running off his last winning mark.
Mirrored finished a 5 length 8th to Ailsa Craig in this last season being out the back most the race after breaking from the 1 stall.
He meets Edwin Tuer's runner on 7lb better today. He is better drawn this time around so I would like to see Duran Fentiman take a more prominent position at this track, and if running to his Doncaster form 3 runs back should be right there at the line.

Alistair Whillans also has an interesting runner in Scrapper Smith. Only had 2 outings this term looking likely that the step up in trip would suit both times. He takes this stronger looking engagement rather than the Straight-Mile Championship Handicap (Qualifier) Class4  @ Redcar on Thursday.
Gary Whillans takes off 5lb keeping his weight down to near the foot of the handicap and he is proven with cut in the ground and not badly drawn in 8.
With both runners trading around 12/1 it may warrant a split stakes wager.

Won @ 20/1 & 2nd @ 16/1 ... Full Result>>       Race Replay>>

Forecast 295/1

Saturday, 27 August 2011

Hezmah @ 13/2

GOODWOOD 5.00 ... HEZMAH @ 13/2

Favourite Girl being the only 5Yr Old in the contest back against her own sex should hold every chance, and her front runing style should suit at this course but she has a bit to prove giving upward of 9lb or more in weight against these 3Yr olds.
 
Hezmah is the one i am interested in today. Only raced 5 times yet a line through Whozthecat should give her the edge over the top weight today. Finished a length behind Whozthecat in July at Newmarket and although now only 1lb lower gets 13lb from Tim Easterby's mare who has gone up 3lb since finishing over a length behind Whozthecat earlier the same month.
Hezmah's 4th to Emmas Gift/Flood Plain in April at Ascot gives optomism for her chances today, given the proximity of their subsequent efforts to the 108 rated Theyskens' Theory at York. She has won over 7fl so this drop to 6fl on today's slower ground not so much a concern as the fact she has been slowly away the last twice at Newmarket.
Tadhg O'shea back in the plate having been aboard when she came from an uncompromising position from last on her penultimate run to finish a clear 3rd, so her abilty to stay with the ground riding soft in the last 4fl should help her cause taking on rivals more within her rating.
2nd ... Full Result>>                    Race Replay>>