4 X 4

Musselburgh 2.40 ... Mission Impossible @ 13/2

Although seemingly better with cut in the ground he does handle most going and has won 3 and placed 5 times from 15 at the trip on a variety of ground so not an overall bad record.
Second stint with Tracy Waggott and he wasn't beaten far latest taking on horses rated 15lb higher than today and this is more in line with this Grey's level of ability.

5th ... Full Result>>                    Race Replay>>


Nottingham 3.40 ... Desert Romance @ 12/1

Won 1st start for David O'meara at Newcastle under a positive front running ride and been running in better class since.
Ran well from the front here latest over 10fl and returns to this grade over a more suitable trip.
Off last winning mark with jockey claiming another 5lb to lighten the burden he should find this task much easier today.

4th ... Full Result>>                    Race Replay>>


Musselburgh 3.50 ... Bowdler's Magic @ 7/1

Best form on faster going but does handle some cut and finished 2nd in this last season (Gd/Sft ...Sft in places) off this rating as a 3Yr Old and should have matured sufficiently for a winning return.
Today's better ground also a positive given he has top weight and this represents a good drop in class.
The one to beat.

Lost ... Full Result>>                    Race Replay>>


Haydock 4.00 ... Morning Moment @ 10/1

Tried in a better class contest last time out on soft when apprentice ridden (fell) but has won both starts under today's pilot on similar going as today.
Up 9lb from his penultimate run/win but his only success' so far on good to firm going and with a 40% strike rate from only 5 times under rules surely there is more to come.

Won ... Full Result>>                    Race Replay>>

A quiet day???

HAYDOCK 1.40 ... MAYOMAN @ 9/1

Mayoman 's was giving Nomoreblondes a Stone last time they met and has got a 19lb pull (including jockeys claim) from their last encounter @ York so sits below him in the handicap and receives weight from all the other runners too.
He also has a 9lb pull with OldJoeSaid from their Thirsk encounter for a couple of length deficit on good/soft going.
Mayoman had excuses last 2 efforts, rider lost stirrup iron, hampered behind Pelmanism, soft going possibly didn't suit before those runs.
Back on a more sound surface and back at 5fl, where he has 4 wins and 2 placed runs from 15, we should see a better show especially as he carries no weight here (8Stone 4lb)
With the exception of Beauty Pageant (concedes 3lb to Nomoreblondes)  he has possibly the best strike rate at the distance too.

Won @ 6/1 ... Full Result>>                   Race Replay>>


HAYDOCK 2.10 ... PELMANISM @ 3/1

Pelmanism finished in front of Mayoman last run here at Haydock so a good run from Mayoman would boost the form of Pelmanism in the 2.10 contest on todays card and i reckon these 2 should also be paired in a small double.

Won @ 2/1 ... Full Result>>                    Race Replay>>

Double also landed @ 40/1


BRIGHTON 5.20 ... YURTUNI @ 9/2

Yurituni's run behind (the 89 rated) Drawnfromthepast in a class3 contest at Bath in July was ran in a much faster time than the class6 Interact and the class5 Delira both ran in there the same month.
OK she has to give these rivals weight dropping in grade, but surely is the classiest Filly in this field!

Won @ 7/2 ... Full Result>>                    Race Replay>>

One for the Treble???

Treble Also Landed @ 220/1

Bets Be Careful

Today's racing doesn't inspire much I and will be keeping most stakes to a minimum just for a bit of interest whilst watching......
Bets Be Careful would be my best idea of a winning selection and will be my main bet today!

Bath 4.30 ... Best Be Careful @ 13/2

I had a long look at this race and came down to the following 3 runners.
LooK Whos Kool, Best Be Careful and Catalinas Diamond.

Look Whos Kool could figure on his effort when 2.5 length behind the 86 rated Fol Hollow in a claimer his penultimate run. He looks held by the selection on a line through Desert Strike who Comptonspirit accounted for before beating Best Be Careful last time out under a penalty. The 2nd from that event, Picabo had previously beaten the 80 rated Tyfos who was going for a hatrick.

Best Be Careful gets the vote on her effort last time out when behind those 2 recent winners (both rated 76).

Won @ 8/1 ... Full Result>>                    Race Replay>>


Bath 2.30 ... Lord Theo @ 25/1

Lord Theo ran up 3 wins in August at Nmkt 2 seasons ago finishing in a class3 h/cap off 16lb higher than today.
Won a few on the A/W over the winter before resuming in June with his 3 runs back on turf this season not amounting to much albeit in better grade contests.
Trainer really struggling for winners (none I think this season) and Jockey only had 3 winners 5 places earlier this month.
Horses is becoming well handicapped and he now drops into this class6 off a stone lower than June, so if the drop in class benefits a return to form perhaps a few quid at todays odds will pay for a night out.

Lost ... Full Result>>



Bath 4.00 ... Levantera @ 9/1

Again a bit of a speculative choice but didn't run too badly at Windsor on penultimate run over just short of 12 furlongs.
Can front run so this drop back to 10fl could see her in a better light as long as she doesn't go off too fast where the stiff finish will be the crucial factor.
She could be the one for an upset should the favourite, Dubawi Dancer, fail to run to expectations under another 9lb penalty.

3rd ... Full Result>>


Bath 5.00 ... Johnstown Lad @ 10/1

Andrea Atzeni only been up once before on this gelding and finished 2nd in a class4 Lingfield h/cap back in November 2009 off 9lb higher than today.
Johnstown Lad been running consistently on the A/W in Ireland (in 0-80 contests) off marks in the mid/high 70's, but 3 of his 4 wins been on turf and did win here that same season off 4lb higher so weighted to go in again if things go his way.
Apprentice ridden latest, but by a capable pilot so no real excuses there but he was giving the other runners weight all round, and had ran in 2 much stronger handicaps than this earlier.
Handles cut in the ground and this looks his easiest task for some time and priced with value to be had.

Lost ... Full Result>>



Folkestone 3.50 ... Osiris Way @ 13/2 Nb

Osiris Way runs off his lowest mark for the last 4 Yrs yet has a near 20% winning strike rate.
Handles most going and drops into this 0-80 grade for the first in along time.
Style And Panache could follow him home.

Lost ... Full result>>

A claim by Ponty

RIPON 3.35 ... PONTY ACCLAIM @ 7/2

 Ponty Acclaim's 3lb rise to 85 seems fair for her latest run at York in the Yearling Stakes.
It was franked in no uncertain terms by the 3rd from that event, Gerfalcon, winning the Ripon Champion 2Yr Old Trophy (Listed) yesterday, running to a mark of 95.

Ponty Acclaim's run in Weatherbys Super Sprint previously she fared quite well in 7th of 20 considering she was hampered early on yet still finished just over 3 length off the winning Colt, Charles The Great who went on to a respectable 3rd in the Molecomb Stakes (Group 3) on his last outing.

Risky Art who finished 9 length behind Ponty at Thirsk would bring Kool Henry, (a winner on soft) into the equation as he had Risky Art over 4 length in arrears at York in July.

Signifer, also hampered early in the Super Sprint has a bit to find with the selection but should be thereabouts.

Ponty Acclaim gets the win vote as her form looks strongest to date.

Won ... Full Result>>                    Race Replay>>



Update: 13.40 pm ....... RIPON 4.10 ...

After backing Mirrored last time i thought he was better handicapped than stablemate Crackenthorp who eventually won the York race they contested.
Since reading the saddle slipped on Mirrored on that occasion i would be prepared to give the Easterby runner another chance here dropping another grade and still running off his last winning mark.
Mirrored finished a 5 length 8th to Ailsa Craig in this last season being out the back most the race after breaking from the 1 stall.
He meets Edwin Tuer's runner on 7lb better today. He is better drawn this time around so I would like to see Duran Fentiman take a more prominent position at this track, and if running to his Doncaster form 3 runs back should be right there at the line.

Alistair Whillans also has an interesting runner in Scrapper Smith. Only had 2 outings this term looking likely that the step up in trip would suit both times. He takes this stronger looking engagement rather than the Straight-Mile Championship Handicap (Qualifier) Class4  @ Redcar on Thursday.
Gary Whillans takes off 5lb keeping his weight down to near the foot of the handicap and he is proven with cut in the ground and not badly drawn in 8.
With both runners trading around 12/1 it may warrant a split stakes wager.

Won @ 20/1 & 2nd @ 16/1 ... Full Result>>       Race Replay>>

Forecast 295/1

Worth the Watch?

LEICESTER 3.00 ... WATCH CHAIN @ 10/1

With the weather dry overnight and the early  forecast rain this morning not arriving, and the remainder of the day being forecast to be mainly dry with the chance of an odd light shower. I'm willing to give Watch Chain the upper hand here.
He has been over 7fl latest when going well finishing 3rd (first 3 clear by 4 length) until the last furlong in a race which yesterday's 2 length (Class6) winner Ryedane was over 5 length behind him and today's contender Sairaam further adrift after racing alone.
Watch Chain ran over 5fl here early this month finding the trip on the sharp side, after just failing previously at Yarmouth over 6fl. Only 1lb higher here and got the box draw, but  Robert Winston in the plate who is currently riding at over 30% win strike rate.

Mount Hollow I have closely rated with Gracies Games, Mata Hari Blue and Belinsky, but the fact Sairaam finished over 7 length in front of Mount Hollow here in May when front running leads me back to Watch Chain.

If electing to take a prominent position again from the off, i can see the mare Sairaam being competitive at a decent price and worthy of a E/W wager, but on adjusted handicap ratings Watch Chain gets the win nod.


LEICESTER 3.00 .... SAIRAAM E/W @ 40/1

Usually a front runner who has gone well up to today's distance here when trying 7 furlongs.
This drop in trip could be ideal if she can get away smartly.
Had today's 12/1 shot Mount Hollow over 7 length behind here in May giving him 1lb.

Has to concede 7lb here but for the distance deficit Mount Hollow has to make up and @ 40/1 Sairaam looks the better value of the two runners.

Sairaam 2nd Mount Hollow Won ...

Full Result>>                  Race Replay>>

Hay Eck Here Now and Why!

HAMILTON 2.30 ... HAYEK @ 8/1 Lads

Hayek went in the notebook for running back at a stiff course over today's distance and looks to have many things in his favour for a return to the winners enclosure today.
Hayek has finished 3,1,2 on the only 3 occasions he 's ran at 6fl this season and been in the money 4 from 9 runs since joining Tim Easterby. He won here in June when Rachael Richardson gave him a superb looking ride to win her, and Hayek's 1st contest. That race is working out well where the 7th, 9th and 11th have all won since taking 6 contests between them.
 Hayek finished 2nd his next start here over 6fl, 2 weeks later that month when the first 3 home were around 3 length clear, to the improving Blues Jazz who was on the 1st win of a 4 timer, having beat a few of today's opposition along the way.
 Hayek has ran at longer trips since, and wasn't disgraced his penultimate run from a wide draw over 7fl at Carlisle, having been caught out the back until the last 2 furlongs when just over 1 length behind Boy The Bell (who also holds a few of these on previous runnings), before again running wide at Beverley over a mile latest on ground possibly softer than ideal.
Should be granted a decent pace as Avoncreek and his stablemate Rydane can take them along.
The drop back to 6fl here should suit as will his stamina for further which should also help on the uphill climb for home in the last 2-3 furlongs.

5th ... Full Result>>           Race Replay>>


HAMILTON 4.30 ... HERE NOW AND WHY @ 10/1

Many here are taking each other on again. Blown It, Wicked Wilma, Sharp Shoes, Sharp Bullet, Saxonette and Ingleby Star are all closely matched on revised ratings.

The 3 that stand out for me are Here Now And Why and Arriva La Diva and Sharp Shoes.  
Front runner Arriva La Diva has a 15lb pull in the weights for a 1/2 length 3rd to Blown It when that one finished 2nd at Musselburgh in July with Ingleby Star further behind. She is however just above her last winning mark and was beaten by Sharp Shoes here in May and is slightly worse in today.
Ingleby Star has a course record of 2,1,8,2,2,6 but has been beaten by these in the past and there's so many front runners in opposition.
Sharp Shoes one of them who had Ingleby Star, Wicked Wilma and Sharp Bullet behind here in May on similar terms in another contest.
Ann Duffields gelding looks the more resolute in a battle and would be the main danger to the selection with the assistance of 3lb claimer Dale Swift.

With middle/higher drawn runners normally holding a advantage with cut in the going, I am swayed toward Here Now And Why who also has a good pull in the weights. For a 2.5 length deficit with Wicked Wilma on his only previous run here in July, Here Now And Why looks favourably treated meeting that rival on 14lb better terms at the foot of the handicap getting weight from all the other runners.

Given their respective recent records, Trainer and jockey Duran Fentiman the negatives, but the horse looks so well handicapped in this I feel @ 10/1 he can't be passed over.
Won ... Full Result>>           Race Replay>>

York

York 2.30 ... Parlour Games @ 12/1 Waltz Darling E/W @ 40/1 Parlour Games best efforts having come with soft in the going description so todays good ground should suit. Although Ahmed Ajtebi has 2 wins and a decent 2nd place effort from 6 rides on this Colt, Frankie Dettori up for the 1st time today, who has ridden 7 winners with around a 50% strike rate for the yard in the last 3 weeks alone. Parlour Games  steps up in class and distance off 3lb higher than his last time out win, but is progressing the right way and has a few of these held on form from latest win. Frankie has the chance of a double for the yard with his ride on Opinion Pole, who himself bids to emulate his win in the 3.05. Waltz Darling off a low weight of 8 stone could defy his tasty odds. He ran 3rd to the 8 length Great Voltigeur Group2 Stakes winner Sea Moon on his run here in June over 4fl shorter. The step up in trip could suit the Fahey runner under Paul Hanagan who shouldn't be readily dismissed @ 40/1 Won ... Full Result>>

York 3.05 ... Opinion Pole @ 7/2 Opinion Pole has won 6 and placed 4 times from his 13 runs, with over 45% winning strike rate. Frankie who has ridden 7 winners with around a 50% strike rate for the yard in the last 3 weeks alone, takes his 7th ride on Opinion Pole having won on 4 of the 6 previous occasions he's ridden this horse, and bids to emulate his win in the 3.05 having won the event last season for Michael Jarvis. Won ... Full Result>> Double also landed @ 57.5

2 for YORK

YORK 2.00 ... Mirrored

 Mirrored was highly tried with Michael Stoute before a brief spell, (again in 3 decent handicaps) with Dandy Nicholls. Tim Easterby likes to get one ready for the Knavesmire even though his strike rate not so good over recent seasons.
Mirrored opened his account on first start this season for this yard off the same mark as today before his next run in the Zetland Gold Cup where I thought he wanted stepping up to today's sort of trip. Been getting going late on in recent contests, again giving the impression of wanting further than the 10 furlongs he's been running over for most of the season.
Providing he handles the softer going today, at the right end of the handicap, I think this distance should bring about more improvement back on his last winning mark.

Lost ... Full Result>>


YORK 3.05 ... Green Destiny
With 4 turf wins from only 7 outings (6 on turf) Green Destiny has an already admirable strike rate of over 55%. Although Kieren Fallon not my favourite jockey booking, William Haggas must hold faith.
His last run when favourite in the Totesport Mile got no sort of run and was eased down but had won here impressively in the John Smith's Cup his penultimate and only previous start here.
Appears to handle any going and worthy of his 1st try here in this Group3 company.

Won ... Full Result>>

Check The Name

NEWMARKET 3.10 ... NAMECHECK

Namecheck ran a decent enough run here his only outing in 2010 over 10fl when 2.5 length behind John Smith's Cup winner Wigmore Hall.

Wigmore Hall has since won back here before going on to finish 5th to Twice Over in the Champion Stakes (group 1) before success off 117 in a turf Group2 at Meydan.
Though Namecheck has done nothing this season which warrants such great respect, he may have needed 1st run back here over 9fl before encountering soft going latest run at 7fl.

This Colt returns from a 5 week break with Ahmed Ajtebi taking the ride for the 3rd time today, and he has 4 wins and 2 placed efforts from only 9 rides for the yard in the last 3 weeks.

Namecheck ran ok to Gallic Star in a 2Yr Old Pontefract Listed on good/firm going over a mile, and back over today's distance on similar going we may see a much better showing from Namecheck as he meets these handicappers on similar terms. With possibly the exception of Circumvent there is nothing of the calibre of those earlier rivals today and though value for an E/W wager @ 16/1 many firms, I feel either a win or nothing wager!

Won @ 20/1  ... Full Result>>

Blogging on the Go

Hajoum 8.20 ... Wolverhampton

Hajoum's only 2 runs previous on A/W at Kempton when over 6fl.
Step up in trip within his range having won 1st try at the trip at Catterick before running a good 4th in the Buckingham Palace H/cap and ran in some much better turf races since.

I fancy that Dance And Dance and Seek The Fair Land (5 from 20 at 7fl A/W) will give him most to do.

Won ... Full Result>>

Updated:

Golden Shaheen 8.50 ... Wolvs
Also holds an entry for the Ayr Gold Cup 2 weeks on saturday so will be hoping for a good run here for another Saeed bin Saroor cast off.
Won well at Kempton lasst October from only 2 A/W runs and met a good one from John Gosdens yard in Fallen Idol his other run.

Could be better than a mark of 88

3rd ... Full Result>>

Indian Days

RIPON 3.45 ... SIOUX RISING @ 20/1 P.Power, V.C. ... 40's exchanges

Kellys Eye has 3 wins from 3 here and though has to be respected back here looks to have it to do off top weight against his elders.

Midnight Martini ran up a hat trick last season but only won once at the trip, in the St Leger Yearling Stakes (for 2Yr Olds) and ran a decent 2nd here 3 runs back but the winner was only rated 80 and off her weight against the elders and opposite sex is another I reckon has it to prove.

Baldemar has course form of 1, 2, 1, 11 when with Karl Burke but any runner from Richard Fahey has to be considered at the moment. The last effort here when finished 11th behind Ruth Carr's Excusez Moi was off equal weights so could struggle giving that opponent 2lb today.

Mastership has normally needed a few runs when returning to racing and looks to hold Red Cape from their encounter in the Ayr Silver Cup but hasn't ran for 7 months.

Excusez Moi is 2 from 6 here and won under this jockey from a similar wide draw last May. He also appears to hold the upper hand with Baldemar from their respective runs behind Johnny Mudball even accounting for the fact Excusez Moi ran up the favoured stands rail.

Red Cape bids to repeat his win in this last year when making all the running off a 2lb higher mark, but James Sullivan takes off 3lb so in theory is 1lb lower today. His only other run here was in a Class2 beaten by R.Fahey's (89 rated) Johannes 3 weeks later off 88, and has the rails draw if electing to make the running again.

Go Nani Go is closely rated with Red Cape on their run in July at this venue but only meets him on 1lb better and struggled with the stiff finish at Pontefract so may find the incline here against him.

Jarrow is a bit difficult to assess as he meets Red Cape on 7lb better terms yet Kellys Eye on 3lb better but is yet to show much on turf and has to be passed over.

Gap Princess a previous Fahey inmate, was beaten over 5fl last time yet was just pipped at the post over 6fl at york with Red Cape 3 length behind. He ran (87 rated) Turnkey close here on soft going in a claimer before joining this stable and appears to have his preferred ground today but not best drawn in 11.

Sioux Rising has the best runs per win ratio with 2 from 4 at the distance, and does go well fresh having won 1st time up last season at Pontefract where she beat rivals rated mid 80's her final success. Her Ascot run was taking on horses who were more adept at running over 7fl to a mile so was always going to find it difficult against stouter stayers. Those in front were Invisible Man who won his next 2 before winning the Royal Hunt Cup and taking the ToteSport mile 2nd.
Khor Dubai (rated low 100's) and Suruor who won his next start beating yesterday Chester 1,2 Kyllachy Star & Brae Hill at Goodwood last season.
Sioux Rising's final start at Newmarket she raced away from the action as the far side runners came out victorious and she wasn't pushed hard by Jimmy Quinn in the final furlong when her chance gone.

Tony Hamilton (de'ja veux) bettered stable Jockey Hanagan yesterday and actually has a better strike rate for Richard Fahey here, and from a slightly better draw in stall5 and at 4 times the price looks good value near the foot of the handicap.

Only one below her, Rievaulx World who can front run could give her a good tow into the contest. He is yet to race beyond 5fl but won his maiden here eased down by 4.5 length yet has occasionally struggled to stay that trip since, albeit in some strong contests, so may leave the door open and drop away closing stages.

With proven ability to go well fresh and if running to her Pontefract form, Sioux Rising could easily win this and looks decent value for an E/W wager with the possibility to trade back stakes in running!

Sioux Rising 1 Pt E/W @ 20/1 Indusry SP ... 40's exchanges

2nd ... Full Result>>

GOODWOOD

GOODWOOD 3.25 ... ROYAL DESTINATION / WEBBOW

Stable and Jockey each have around a 25% strike rate here and the likely strong pace should help keep this ones stamina in play. He ran here last season over 10 furlongs leading much of the way until the 107 rated Drumfire took it up to win, where he lost the 2nd spot close home for a 1/2 length defeat.
Drumfire then ran a 3 length 4th place to (Yesterdays Goodwood Cup & Sagaro Stakes winner) Illustrious Blue in the first race on this card, the Coutts Glorious Stakes (group 3) where, without an interrupted passage would have seen him closer to the winner making the form look strong.
This drop to 8fl shouldn't be too much of a problem for Royal Destination having 2 of previous 3 wins at the distance.
Ryan Moore one of the leading Jockey's at the course and though a high draw normally preferable his pitch in stall 10 not insurmountable, given that last years winner and 2 others from single figure stalls filled 3 of the first 6 places.
Spectait holds the course record winning this in 2006, and comes out slightly better at the weights with Webbow for his 2nd place last year, but Webbow, the 4th home last season didn't get the best of runs switching his position's from the first bend, yet ran on strongly after checking between the 2fl and 1fl marks, and with a better run would have finished in front of Spectait IMO and off bottom weight is worth a saver.

Royal Destination 1.5 Pts @ 20/1
Webbow 0.5 Pt @ 14/1

Royal Destinaton Lost
Webbow 3rd ... Full Result>>

GOODWOOD 2.45 ... JOSEPH HENRY / HAMOODY

Real tight at the weights this, and Sprint King Dandy Nicholls holds 5 entries and Joseph Henry has an admirable course record over this 6fl trip with a 3rd and 2nd place in the 2007-2008 runnings where Pearly Way ran up the double.
Only 1lb lower in the handicap for the former effort but 4lb lower than the later and been running well lately.
Won his race up the middle at Newcastle when the field split and found 7fl too far penultimate run. His run here in the Totesport Mile last season he was well there at the 6fl pole off a strong pace and is 12lb lower here and granted luck in running should be bang there at the line.

Hamoody, who won here over 5fl in the last yesterday bids to emulate Zuhair, who got the double up for the yard 11 Years ago taking this event after the preceding days win.
He missed the break in yesterdays race and ran on well to win by the narrowest of margins, but his track form of 2 wins and a 2nd place he has to be respected.
He ran here over 6fl last August with Aye Aye Digby another 2.25 length behind getting 4lb yet gets 8lb from him today. Pearly Way, the 2007 and 2008 winner of this was further in arrears so is not without a chance off this 6lb lower mark.

Of the 3Yr Old's, Pastoral Player comes out near the top on my ratings.

Hamoody 1.5 Pts @ 20/1
Joseph Henry 0.5 Pt @ 33/1

Hamoody Lost
Joseph Henry Won ... Full Result>>

EARLY BIRD

YARMOUTH 2.15 ... KNOTGARDEN 2 Pts @ 5/1

The newcomer from William Haggas, Herculean, may prove better than those to have raced as he is bred for this trip and is well related.

However, James Fanshawe's filly Knotgarden took my attention for this contest having come from the same race as recent eased down winner Sea Of Galilee who was 2.5 length behind Knotgarden last time out receiving 12lb.
Also the winner from that Doncaster race was my E/W selection yesterday, Miss Jean Brodie, who took 2nd in the Darley Irish Oaks (fillies' Group 1).
This Class6 auction maiden is a far cry from that class of contest and Knotgarden could be potentially well in here, even accounting for the fact she will be better with time and a step up in distance, this galloping track may suit her.
With the form already franked by an eased down winner and an Oaks 2nd, Knotgarden is the selection for what looks her winning opportunity!

Knotgarden 2 Pts

Won ... Full Result>>


YARMOUTH 3.45 ... HELLENIO 1 Pt @ 10/1

Having 1st run for Mick Quinnlan today and fitted in 1st time blinkers (as is his other runner Haafhd Sharp).
Hellenio seemed to improve on his final 2 starts for previous stable last season when taking a prominent front running role over 7 furlongs where he held every chance at the 6fl mark. Those runs were in Class5 0-73 and 0-80 contests respectively, and although on joint top weight here has been dropped 5lb in the handicap making him eligble to run in this Class6 (0-55) contest.
With only 9lb between the field this Colt should have a good chance of winning this or at least being in the money.
Not badly drawn and Andrea Atzeni riding well at the moment with plenty winners/places in the past month.

Hellenio 1 Pt @ 10/1

Lost ... Full Result>>

Any later selection's to follow.......

GOODWOOD 4.55 ... KILBURN @ 16/1

Goodwood 4.55 ... Kilburn @ 16/1

Kilburn was given a mark of 88 for his success winning his maiden here (7fl) for Clive Cox and was running in some competitive class2 handicaps thereafter. (Esher Cup & Brittania Stakes)

Missed 2008 and returned dropped to this grade (Class6) for this stable with a 2nd place effort then a win under this jockey, both on the all weather.

Given a 5lb rise in the ratings for later win he ran respectably back in class4 behind Taqdeyr (given that ones subsequent success' to a rating of 99, and his 3rd in the Guisborough Stakes Listed contest).

Ran another couple of decent races after in class4 contests at the end of last year in races working out well, before a re-appearance effort in a Lady amateur race (which has also thrown up numerous winners) saw his mark drop another 2lb making him eligible to run in this grade (class6).

Not badly drawn and should get more assistance from the saddle with (a senior jockey) Steve Drowne back on board where off his last winning mark (OR 65) is weighted to win this given no trouble in running.

Kilburn 1 Pt @ 16/1 Bet365, PP, S.James, VC, W.Hill

Won ... Full Result>>


Update 2.40 p.m.


CARLISLE 4.40 ... RED RIVER BOY @ 14/1

Ran a good race here penultimate outing at the end of last season when led from around the 3fl mark and had the measure of Hansomis (who is 1lb worse here and looks to need every yard of 6fl) until tiring in the 6th furlong.

Kelly Harrison ridden on numerous occasions so familiar with her mount and this drop back to 5fl in his favour having won his only race on previous visit at this trip here at this venue.

No great record fresh however but could reward at the price for small stakes if ready to go 1st time back.

4th ... Full Result>>


GOODWOOD 4.20 ... CYFLYMDER @ 23 WIN 6.8 PLACE Betfair

Majority of his best efforts have been on top of the ground so can be excused his last 3 when on the all weather latest in January from a wide draw, and on soft the previous 2 runs when hampered/unseating once late last season.

Last time on gd/fm he met the 109 rated Djeer from the Godolphin stable last September when missing the break slightly over a mile at Chester, but lived up to his name and made rapid headway going for home.

Ryan Moore takes the ride over stablemate Get Carter (who he wont do the weight on) but this gelding looks to have a bit more class and at least is proven over trip and on the ground.

Nicely priced for a E/W wager should he fail to get to the head of affairs early (as he won 3 on the bounce leading from the start last summer), so hopefully a change to front running tactics back on better ground can pay dividends if Ryan takes it up early, and with stamina for further could hold them off at the finish.

7th ... Full Result>>

CHELTENHAM

CHELTENHAM 1.30 ... SOLDATINO @ 11/2

Carlito Brigante, current favourite had Blazing Buck and Investissment's conqueror, 'Baccalaureate,' around 20 length in arrears last time so justifies favouritism on that score.
A line through Ultimate who was getting 3lb from Soldatino should give the Henderson runner a good chance against Carlito Brigante who also looks to have the upper hand on Alaivan.
Ultimate had made errors behind Carlito and though jumping errors again found Ultimate out, Soldatino won nicely thrown into Group company on that first race for the yard.
The runners behind P.Nicholls Advisor haven't done much to frank the form of that one and the Irish runner Pittoni may be the stronger challenger of the remainder.

Won ... Soldatino 1 Pt @ 11/2

Full Result>>

CHELTENHAM 2.05 ... ROCK NOIR @ 11/1

Already a Group1 winner in the French provinces and had Jumbo Rio (rated 155) behind on final run there.
Jumbo Rio went undisgraced in the Champion Hurdle on Tuesday with those in front multiple grade 1 winners (rated between 6lb - 13lb higher)
Has top weight and going very different today but McCoy having a decent festival and this McManus runner deserves plenty respect.
Santa's Son down the bottom of the weights is 20lb lower than whan contesting last year's Queen Mother Champion Chase now back over hurdles and could be interesting off his low weight.

Lost ... Rock Noir 1 Pt @ 11/1

Full Result>>

CHELTENHAM 2.40 ... NAJAF 1 Pt E/W @ 25/1 Lads

Was a running on 3rd in the Group1 won by Rock Noir (Jumbo Rio 2nd) and won his 1st outing here at Exeter in a Listed event when looking like he needed the run.
Should come on a lot for that and though stepping up in trip this better going should suit.

NAJAF 1 Pt E/W @ 25/1

2nd ... Full Result>>

Giving It All Away

With No Account Selections nothing too heavy for me this afternoon.
Just a personal trade bet!

Think General Tufto should go well in the 2.30 Southwell.
Two of last 3 was over a trip too far and caught a tarta in Trans Sonic who stole the march inbetween those efforts.
Trans Sonic proved that was no fluke though when followed up last time after idling in front with nothing to race with but picked up strongly again at the finish when challenged.

Cheers For Thea won 2/3 at Wolvs and has been tried over further so this drop to a mile on this slower surface for the return from a break should be far enough and could surprise at a price if fit enough 1st time back.

Heathyards Junior also won 2 from 5 at Wolvs over slightly further and beat Ten Pole Tudor comfortably by 2.25 length on his penultimate run.
Ten Pole Tudor was just over 6.5 length behind General Tufto here at the end of January his next race so it would sway G.T as the more likely winner on that form line.

Bookiebasher Babe won 2 stronger fillies races but is on her highest mark.

Castle Myth's trainer had 2 winners here yesterday under this jock and appeals as the best of the others to me in this grade.

General Tufto to win
Cheers For Thea small stake win ... and place bet
Castle Myth Combo T/C

Won ... Full Result>>

Such A Shame

SOUTHWELL 4.50 ... RESPLENDANT NOVA 2 Pts @ 5/1 Gen
Even though Fulford looks to have improved on last seasons efforts he is stepping up in grade here and has to be taken on in my book and looks no value!
Resplendant Nova has Daryll Holland up for the 1st time on this gelding who is only having it's 3rd run at Southwell.
Last 2 were off a higher mark (OR81) when beaten both times around 3 length last winter by Mark Johnson's Nightjar (now rated 95 and switched yards to Kevin Ryan).
Last 10 runs have all been at Kempton where he has been held up out the back or slowly away so we may know our fate early, but Holland a good man to have on your side if a front running ride is the plan, and a return to this left handed track should suit and could be the deciding factor on only his 2nd ever run in a Class6 h/cap.
Regular jockey Jimmy Quinn is on stablemate Guilenstern having won on him last time out, but wether he can live with the previous class Resplendant Nova had receiving 5lb has to be doubtful and I believe the value is in the selection, who is now off 19lb lower in the ratings (in this 0-65 contest) than when last winning a (75-90) Class 4 7fl Handicap.

2 Pts

Won ... Full Result>>

SOUTHWELL 4.20 ... HITS ONLY JUDE @ 4/1 Gen
Has 3 wins and 5 second places here from 10 runs at the track.
Won this in 2008 off 7lb lower and although beaten around 3 lengths last time out, the form isnt too bad as the 3rd place was running off 78 and the 4th place horse Flores Sea winning a seller on his next start by 3.7 length to Obe Gold with the 3rd horse another 8 length adrift.
Even the 6th place Gaily Noble had won his previous outing off 77.
Last 5 runs all over 7 or 8fl and the drop back to 6fl and down in class should be in his favour.
Not an outstanding price @ 4/1 currently on offer but may have a 1 Pt double on these 2 selections.

After doing the early work and having smaller stakes on the double ... it's A Shame I only put Resplendant Nova up as today's main bet!

Won ... Full Result>>

Nothin Else Matters

LUDLOW 3.30 ... MARODIMA 2 Pt @ 13/2

Marodima joined Rebecca Curtis on a 21lb higher chase mark than when winning a Worcester Hurdle by 10 length off 2lb lower than today on his penultimate run for Paul Nicholls.
Was totally outclassed in the Queen Mother Champion Chase taking on rivals rated between 150-186 when off level weights and has been running in better class hurdles in between his chases.
Dropped 10lb since November when last contesting a handicap, (albeit a Grade2) behind Celstial Halo (OR 165), in which the 3rd Whiteoak (OR 138) won her next outing in a mares Listed when stepped up in trip, and the 2nd Mamlook (OR 147) won his next start in a Grade 2 (also stepped up in trip, suggesting Marodima was beaten by stouter stayers) before a 4th place in the Tote sport Trophy (grade 3).
A line through Ronaldo Des Mottes (2nd in the Tote sport) would bring Know The Law close into the equation, but he has won both starts at Huntingdon on gd/firm going and is half the price with it to prove on this slower ground.
Marodima has run at longer trips since until dropped back to this 2 miles in a conditions Listed race behind the 163 rated Binocular last time and this opposition looks a lot weaker.
Won 25% (7/28) of all starts at this distance and 20% (3/15) of all Hurdles with another 6 places from all 28 outings. Could pay on the E/W but at the price I feel an all or nothing Win Only wager!
2 Pts

Won ... Full Result>>

TUESDAY'S SELECTION'S

EXETER 3.40 ... MACMAR @ 12/1
Probably much better Chaser than over Hurdles, but latest 2nd with cheekpieces tried was an improvement on similar going.
Looks the stables second string but not the 1st time Kieran Burke has out battled Walford in a finish and he gets weight all round from the rest of the field.
Swordsman put in a better show latest in a conditionals contest and looked to be staying on, and this is easier than the Coral Cup on his penultimate start but looks weighted up to his limit at present.
Might As Well, stablemate of Macmar won by a good distance last time but that was a messy race where many were hampered and the top rated was only 102.
Billyvoddan would look well treated compared to his chase rating, but it's over 4 Yrs since he ran/won a Novices event over hurdles and may find things happening a bit quickly.
We may have value in the selection who Is rated 24lb lower in this sphere than his best over the bigger fences, and giving 6lb took a good scalp in Snoopy Loopy over the larger obstacles last season here.

Macmar 1 point

plus 12 points

FULL RESULT>>

YARMOUTH 4.20 ROSE BIEN @ 13/2
Her 1st run back behind Kavaloti was decent enough after the break as that one has gone in again off a 3lb penalty beating 80 plus rated rivals.
Her consistency means she gets no respite from the h/capper having stayed around this mark for the most of 2 Years but is sure to run her race and does stay.
Rose Bien was 2nd here 2 seasons back off a 1b higher rating carrying 9St 12lb so the 9St 5lb she has today in this lower grade than lat time out shouldn't be a problem.
Lucky Dancer could improve after only 4 runs but the proven ability over this 2 mile trip will get the preference on this occasion.

Rose Bien 1 point

minus 1 point

FULL RESULT>>

YARMOUTH 4.50 COYOTE CREEK E/W @ 25/1
Not the long shot he 1st looks in our opinion as this gelding has been in the first 3 home on 50% of all starts on mostly good...good/firm ground.
Won off 2lb lower last year and though that was over 2 furlong further he was 6 length clear of the 2nd with the top weight (rated 85) around another 3 length further adrift.
Jockey has his 1st ride aboard today but his 5lb claim should be valuable and though a few are in with a chance Buddhist Monk (on Class) Bullet Man (on trainers reputation) Mystery Star (on recent form) our selection should return around the same profit for the E/W stake just for a place, as those would to win.
Obviously a win would be a bonus but we have a strong chance of collecting the place if the remaining 8 all go to post.

1/2 point E/W

minus 1 point

FULL RESULT>>

Ones to watch
Market Rasen 2.30 ... Quillan Hill ... Two from Two here
Market Rasen 3.30 ... Livingonaknifedge ... Good record fresh

Sunday's Sinners

MUSSELBUGH 4.20 ...RAUCOUS @ 16/1

We put this up last time out and he duly did the business to win comfortably here (albeit in a seller).
But with 2 runs under the belt for the season he should have strengthened up a bit for this step back up in grade as he has gone well in better company than this in the past.
He loves top of the ground and will get it today, and having been tried as far as 2.4 miles in the Ascot Stakes where leading for 12-16 furlongs this front runner will ensure a true test.
He was around 5 length behind Nicky Henderson's Sentry Duty (then flat rated 93) with Finalmente (rated 99) just in front 2 seasons back in a Class 2 Heritage h/cap, so running in this Class 4 off off 6lb lower today is still well treated from a handicapping perspective.
Paul Mulrennan keeps the partnership and Ruth Carr looks to have the gelding well placed into another winable contest.
Oddsmaker, is back at a more suitable distance having contested a mile race at Newcastle last time but is 5lb higher than finishing 2nd in this in 2007.
My Immortal takes a change in code and is fit from chasing so could go well but the last time he ran/won on the flat he beat 80 rated rivals at best and had the run of the race from a handy pitch at Chester.
I'm not convinced Soundbyte, now 7lb better than Phoenix Flight are yet up to this, as both have had more starts than the selection and still have to prove the trip is within their capabilities.
Gordonsville alwayd find one too good but runs well here, as does Danzatrice who is closely rated on the revised weights from their last encounter here and he could be the one for a small F/C in a competitive looking contest.

Raucous 1 point win

minus 1 point

FULL RESULT>>


MUSSELBURG 2.50 ... CAPE VALE @11/1
Top weight here but deservedly so after his 3 Yr Old efforts.
He had Hamish McGonagall (who won the York Sprint Cup here last October) just in front in a strong Thirsk sprint when last tried at this trip and is rated 5lb superior to stablemate Blue Tomato who won this last Year off 1lb higher.
Had the likes of yeterdays 3rd Flowing Cape behind when tried over further, but won his 1st two outings sprinting at 6fl.
Rothesay Dancer went close last time to Stablemate of Cape Vale but is 3lb higher taking on a similar rated rival, and was beaten 2 & 1/4 length by Sandwith last year here getting 4lb and and now meets him on equal terms.
Highland Warrior is 4lb lower than winning a Class 3 here but that was 4Yrs ago and though not getting any younger at 10 Yr Old he had Seafield Towers well adrift here in October last Year.
Jaconet looks the danger on recent form but is raised 18lb since last July when he won a York H/cap by 4 length from the front, he made all to win comfortably on the Cat Litter at Wolverhampton latest and if given an easy lead will be hard to catch.

Cape Vale 1 point win @11/1
Jaconet 1 point win @13/2
1/2 point Rev F/C

plus 4.5 points
FULL RESULT>>