With the weather dry overnight and the early forecast rain this morning not arriving, and the remainder of the day being forecast to be mainly dry with the chance of an odd light shower. I'm willing to give Watch Chain the upper hand here.
He has been over 7fl latest when going well finishing 3rd (first 3 clear by 4 length) until the last furlong in a race which yesterday's 2 length (Class6) winner Ryedane was over 5 length behind him and today's contender Sairaam further adrift after racing alone.
Watch Chain ran over 5fl here early this month finding the trip on the sharp side, after just failing previously at Yarmouth over 6fl. Only 1lb higher here and got the box draw, but Robert Winston in the plate who is currently riding at over 30% win strike rate.
Mount Hollow I have closely rated with Gracies Games, Mata Hari Blue and Belinsky, but the fact Sairaam finished over 7 length in front of Mount Hollow here in May when front running leads me back to Watch Chain.
If electing to take a prominent position again from the off, i can see the mare Sairaam being competitive at a decent price and worthy of a E/W wager, but on adjusted handicap ratings Watch Chain gets the win nod.
LEICESTER 3.00 .... SAIRAAM E/W @ 40/1
Usually a front runner who has gone well up to today's distance here when trying 7 furlongs.
This drop in trip could be ideal if she can get away smartly.
Had today's 12/1 shot Mount Hollow over 7 length behind here in May giving him 1lb.
Has to concede 7lb here but for the distance deficit Mount Hollow has to make up and @ 40/1 Sairaam looks the better value of the two runners.
Sairaam 2nd Mount Hollow Won ...
Full Result>> Race Replay>>
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