Wednesday, 25 March 2009

WEDNESDAY'S SELECTION'S

LINGFIELD 5.20 ... FREE TUSSY ... Industry Odds @12/1 ... Betfair 18/1 win & 4/1 Place
Ever Cheerful could be the one to beat here having won this event off 3lb higher last season.
Yet Shaded Edge has 1lb over Ever Cheerful for a neck beating from their last encounter which brings us to Free Tussy.
Free Tussy has to put a dreadful run latest at Kempton behind him, but he was running off a massive 35lb higher in June last Year in Class2/Class3 Handicaps (albeit finishing last) but has tumbled free fall down the ratings and his penultimate outing here gives encouragement to his chances off another 3lb lower.
Perhaps he just preferes going this way round (left Handed), and if so, he meets Shaded Edge 5lb better & Loyal Royal on 6lb better terms than for their encounter here in Febuary.
On the revised weights he should better Ever Cheerful, but may have most to fear from Loyal Royal, who's saddle slipped early on that occasion and the horse ran away with the jockey who basically was hanging on and finished only a head behind. He has the assistance of a Senior jockey (Liam Kinnery) this time after being apprentice ridden most of the winter season.
With Shaded Edge (@ 3/1) and Ever Cheerful (@11/4) there could be some value in Free Tussy at 4 times the price!
Of the others, Shake On It (better over further) will be staying on when the rest have cried enough but I can see the above 4 mentioned fighting out the finish!

Free Tussy 1/2 point win & place.
Loyal Royal 1 point win ... 1/2 point reverse F/C

shocking analysis ... minus 3 points

FULL RESULT>>

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