Saturday, 27 February 2010

No Other Way

Well there is if you do a bit of trading!

Razor Royal was behind the account selection Oedipe last time out so I had a few quid saver on him in case of accidents. Ollie Magern saw a few quid go his way as he also had a bit in hand from last season with Nacarat and I felt their form lines were the strongest.
Although Fistral Beach fell I feel it was right to take him on, as Magic Sky (fav for the 4.40 Chepstow) was one i didnt rate today and was well beaten, but Le Burf the eventual 3rd came from that race so who knows?
A few quid in running on Nacarat in the final stages had to be played just to cover the stakes.
Not as deduced in the analysis but it all payed off in the end.






KEMPTON 3.05 ... OEDIPE 1 Pt @ 16/1 (circa) 20/1 Betfair

Hasn't stood much racing for his age and bypasses the Kim Muir where he would carry a big weight to run here where he runs off 10 Stone.
Against the majority of the field looks like a Pony but a gutsy little horse who should be competitive with so little weight.
Missed 2007 after winning a Class 3 Novices h/cap here by 14 length eased down on his 1st start for the yard in 2006.
First run in 2008 was down the field in the Racing Post Handicap Chase (grade 3) having made mistakes, then won his 2nd start at Aintree off only 2lb lower than today.
Most outings since has been in decent company but made mistakes on undulating tracks, as when behind Madison De Berlais in the Hennessy but now meets that rival on 22lb better terms and M.D.B has never won this early in the season.

Was down the field in this last season but made a few errors along the way and meets last years winner Nacarat 17lb better and off a more pleasing comeback effort.

Andrew Tinkler back on board having rode him to success at Aintree, and on 5 occasions in total.
Won on soft going in France, and though yet to race on it in England/Ireland (Most runs here on Gd/Sft) should find the pull in the weights to his advantage on the declared going.

Nicky Henderson should have a handle on the Nicholls horse Fistral Beach who looks short in the betting running 4lb out the handicap where Ruby will possibly put up a little overweight. He is rated 4lb lower than than stablemate Massasoit, who finished behind Henderson's Reynoldstown Chase winner Burton Port on 2 occasions and who Oedipe was behind (Massasoit) on his comeback.
With the hype surrounding this contest Oedipe has been slightly overlooked at the odds on offer in my opinion, and will certainly have to put in a clean round of jumping.
He does appear to have trained on having made a decent return only beaten 6.5 length at Sandown after 11 months away from a racecourse, and with that run under the belt should be fitter for this and back on a flatter track where he has won both starts looks worthy of a 1 Pt wager.

OEDIPE 1Pt @ 20/1


P/U ... Full Result>>



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