Tuesday, 19 October 2010

TUESDAY'S SELECTION'S

LINGFIELD 3.30 ... EXCELLING @ 8/1

Won her maiden here by 5 length over 5fl.
Since been tried in a couple of strong contests (a Listed event and the Watership Down Stud Sales Race at Ascot) split with last run here where she was taking on rivals rated high 70's low 80's when struggled to go the early pace over the minimum 5fl.
This drop back to Class6 claiming company a bit disconcerting, but I feel the step up in trip will help and this is a whole lot easier than those contests and a small stake interest at the 8/1 on offer


LINGFIELD 4.00 ... SHERJAWY @ 16/1 Vic Chandler, bigger exchanges

Macs Sister beat rivals rated 59 at best last time out and though clearly in form has a bit to do from a handicap perspective in this higher grade and is worth taking on at the current restrictive odds.

Sherjawy dropped a few pounds since returning 2 runs back from a break having been busy in the spring where he would have needed the 1st run back. Last time he met Titus Gent at the top of his game and the 2nd horse, Dear Maurice had dropped 10lb to a rating of 75 so was likely to be against it.
Is now back on his last winning mark, when he got an enterprising ride from Sam Hitchcott to win here in a stronger (0-83) contest and today's jockey takes off another 5lb, so theoretically well in against rivals 14lb lower in the ratings.
Has won 5 from 26 starts over this distance on the All Weather albeit those coming at Kempton, but also has decent form here winning 1 over 5fl and placing 4 times at 6fl from 12 runs.
Many of this field are better at the minimum, so his consistency and proven ability over further should see him competitive today.

EXETER 4.40 ... MUD MONKEY @ 50/1 Vic Chandler ... S.James

Will have to have brushed up his jumping in his abscence as been off for some time (March 2009) but if putting in a clear round here he has decent course form as when electing to take up his customary front running role on previous visits.
Beaten 1/2 length into 2nd on going softer/heavier than the declared good last time here, and on this better going he could be hard to peg back if given too much distance early on and attractively priced if electing to do so!

As all fields currently hold the minmum 8 runners for E/W places, will play 3 singles
2 X E/W doubles
1 X E/W treble

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