Thursday, 27 October 2011

On The Nose or E/W value???

Lingfield 3.10 ... Judd Street @ 30+ Betfair

Saeed bin Suroor won this last season with another 3Yr Old (Quick Wit) with Frankie in the plate when beating Mr Willis and Seek The Fair Land, (2nd & 3rd respectively last year) who should go close off their revised marks yet still have to concede weight to the selection.

Mr Willis, although slightly worse in at the weights (3lb) with Seek The Fair Land ran the better race last year and I have him to uphold the form.

Judd Street is having his first run over 7fl after running for the first time over 8fl on turf last time out.

His record of 10 wins and 18 placed efforts from 59 runs is nothing to be ashamed of, yet his record on Lingfield's A/W track reads 4,1,1,1,8,3,8,2,2 here from 12 A/W outings in total.

Judd Street is having his first run over 7fl at this Surrey venue, yet conceding 7lb, ran (105 rated) Anciem Regime close after meeting interference in running in a Class2 6fl stakes contest when running off a mark of 102 on his last visit here in 2009.
He was doing his best work late on in that event and today he runs off 19lb lower in this Class3 handicap contest.

Has both the tongue tie and visor on today, and with quite a few hold up horses the pace could suit and although Fallon not my favourite jockey, this one time Listed/Group performer more importantly runs off bottom weight today.

Priced for some E/W value if getting the race run to suit but On The Nose for Moi


6th ... Full Result>>                    Race Replay>>

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