Looking through the form of Choreography brought to the attention Count Ceprano.
COUNT CEPRANO 3.15 BEVERLEY @ 14/1 Boylesport,Sportingbet ... 12's Others
Summer Dancer got a quick look after beating our selection Viva Volta last time but he got the strong pace he needed that day and meets Blue Charm on equal terms having been nearly 6 length adrift of him at Pontefract.
Blue Charm could run well if his low draw doen't hinder too much but has struggled in this grade in the past.
Count Ceprano was running off (87) 18lb higher at his peak for Mark Usher and ran a credible race in last seasons Buckingham Palace (off 79) at Ascot beaten around 8.5 length.
That looks good in the context of this, as he is now running off 10lb lower than his last success. Running off a mark of 69, and with Debra England taking off another 7lb is effectively off 62 today.
Has a lovely draw in 13 near the rail and the fact his turf win came at Goodwood where he has ran 4 credible races in better contests suggests he should have no problem handling this downhill track.
This represents a drop in grade from what he normally contests and providing the jockey takes advantage of the draw she should be there at the line.
COUNT CEPRANO 1 point
minus 1 point
FULL RESULT>>
Brighton's 4.00 Kipchak @ 11/1
1/4 pt E/W Double
minus 1/2 point
FULL RESULT>>
Brighton's 4.00
Kipchak @ 11/1 is the one who could surprise at a price, although yet to run here has won all 4 starts at Lingfield so could appreciate the similar nature of this course. He only had 3 runs as a 3Yr Old and has won 5 from 14 starts this year.
Choreography was a selection at the end of May and drifted from the 16/1 advised out to 33/1 and blocked in his run lost all chance, but perhaps this has been his target as having been dropped 2lb for that unfortunate run, he is eligible to run in this.
He won this last season off 4lb lower and has won his only other 2 starts at this course. Will more than likely run a good race but @ 3/1 I am prepared to give this one a swerve today. (drifted to 6/1)
One To Watch...
BEVERLEY 5.45 WOQOODD
Not badly treated on his best form when with Richard Fahey, and well drawn if consenting to take a prominent position as he ran well up to this distance at Ripon last time out over 6fl.
That was on softer going but his only win came on fast ground. Appentice races not the best for a wager, and depending on which Woqoodd turns up he could off this rating win this or run a complete shocker.
A small interest for a place @ 3/1 on the exchanges may be the safest option!
1 month ago
No comments:
Post a Comment