Sunday, 9 August 2009

REDCAR RACES

REDCAR 5.10 SARDAN DANCER @ 10/1 (Gen) NUFOUDH @ 25/1 Bet365, BlueSQ, BetFred
Many in here on similar form lines and it gets more complicated the more you look.
Many have close links to Redwater River who won last time out beating recent Class4 York winner Mandalay King which looks good in the context for this Class 6.
The interesting one for me however is Sardan Dansar who's latest 3rd behind the improved fillie Rafta looks better.

EDIT: Rafta is entered in the Class 2 Leicester 7 furlong Handicap at 3.50 p.m. today for pointers to the form!!

She had Uace Mac 3.75 length in behind that day, who in turn had Redwater River 3.5 length in arrears before his latest win, with Imperial Sword, who won yesterday evening just in front.
Imperial Swords had earlier in the season accounted for recent selction King Of Swords by 7 lengths and it all comes together.
The 2nd horse in the Rafta race, Jilly Why just won beating some horses rated in the 70's and some who were dropping down from marks in the mid 90's. Although that was on very different going than today, she was one I highlighted earlier as being well handicapped and returned some place money for us.
A danger could be Nufoudh who drops in trip from recent outings and ran well for a long way last time out under this jockey.
On 3 of 4 previous runs here at this distance on this going, he has been beaten around 2 length or less and is now 3-5lb lower than those efforts. Kelly Harrison takes off another 3lb and @ 25/1 represents some E/W value.
Although still a maiden, the selction however, is Sardan Dancer who put in a much improved effort last time out in a 0-70 contest and is now 2lb lower in this 0-60 event and the pace of this could suit.

SARDAN DANCER 1.5 point @ 10/1 (Gen)

NUFOUDH 1/2 pt E/W @ 25/1 Bet365, BlueSQ, BetFred

minus 2.5 points

FULL RESULT>>

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